Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 7

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	União de Tomar		Marinhense

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.1	1.88
	4.38	3.22	1.83
	4.2	3.26	1.9
	4.05	3.22	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↑ (3.55)	3.2 ↑ (3.08)	1.86 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Tomar
22.4%

Draw
28.6%

Marinhense
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

29.3%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

26.9%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Tomar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Tomar than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União de Tomar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marinhense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Tomar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Marinhense will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Tomar
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
21.10.23	União de Santarém - União de Tomar	3:0 ✺
15.10.23	União de Tomar - SC Lusitânia	1:3 ✺
08.10.23	Peniche - União de Tomar	2:2 ✺
01.10.23	União de Tomar - SB Castelo Branco	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	União de Tomar - Pero Pinheiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTWL
- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.10.23	Marinhense - Alverca B	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Mortágua - Marinhense	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Marinhense - União de Santarém	2:4 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.09.23	Peniche - Marinhense	2:1 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
03.09.23	Sertanense - Marinhense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLT

União de Tomar - Marinhense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide