Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 21

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán (La Calera)

Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports, TNT Sports Go, TNT Sports Premium


	Unión La Calera		Deportes Copiapó

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.2
	2.2	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.21	3.46	3.36
	2.15	3.41	3.27	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.18	3.45	3.24	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.97)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	3.22 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión La Calera
43.3%

Draw
27.6%

Deportes Copiapó
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

26.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Deportes Copiapó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión La Calera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	21.4%	0%

Unión La Calera - Deportes Copiapó Predictions

Users Predictions: Unión La Calera will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pena Jorge (G) 13. Ferrario E. 21. Rebolledo R. 24. Parnisari E. 34. Brunet N. 35. Henriquez A. 7. Valencia E. (C) 8. Parra P. 36. Alvarez Wallace A. 9. Romero D. 10. Cavalleri M.	1. Leyton R. (G) 3. Calderon E. 8. Vargas N. 15. Garcia D. 17. Nieto B. 5. Manzano F. 10. Luna J. 33. Andia Leon Y. W. 4. Araya M. 29. Quinteros M. 31. Diaz I.
Substitutes
27. Encinas A. 29. Huerta R. 12. Ibanez M. (G) 26. Maturana M. 5. Munoz M. 17. Ponce W. 4. Ulloa D.	30. Carrasco D. 22. Espinoza N. (G) 9. Figueroa T. 18. Gaete J. 28. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 11. Reynero F. 32. Soto B.
Coaches
Lemma W.	Basay I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Leyton R. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Vargas N. ⚽, Luna J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Araya M. ↓, Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. ↑,
46', Andia Leon Y. W. ↓, Soto B. ↑,
46', Parra P. ↓, Ponce W. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Quinteros M. ⚽,
54', Valencia E. ↓, Huerta R. ↑,
54', Henriquez A. ↓, Encinas A. ↑,
55', Luna J. 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Ponce W. (Pen),
75', Rebolledo R. ↓, Maturana M. ↑,
78', Vargas N. 🟨,
79', 2 - 2, Romero D. ⚽, Cavalleri M. (A),
80', Quinteros M. ↓, Gaete J. ↑,
80', Diaz I. ↓, Figueroa T. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Huerta R. ⚽,
85', Cavalleri M. ↓, Munoz M. ↑,
89', 3 - 3, Figueroa T. ⚽, Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión La Calera won 1.

Recent matches Unión La Calera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Copiapó is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Unión La Calera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Unión La Calera won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión La Calera won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión La Calera
Chilean Primera Division
18.08.24	Unión La Calera - Palestino	2:1 ✺
09.08.24	Cobreloa - Unión La Calera	2:0 ✺
03.08.24	Deportes Iquique - Unión La Calera	1:1 ✺
28.07.24	Unión La Calera - Huachipato	2:1 ✺
20.07.24	Universidad Católica - Unión La Calera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLTWL
- Deportes Copiapó
Chilean Primera Division
17.08.24	Deportes Copiapó - Huachipato	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Deportes Copiapó - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
04.08.24	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Deportes Copiapó - Coquimbo Unido	3:0 ✺
20.07.24	OHiggins - Deportes Copiapó	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
30.03.24	Deportes Copiapó - Unión La Calera	2:0
01.09.23	Unión La Calera - Deportes Copiapó	1:1
10.03.23	Deportes Copiapó - Unión La Calera	0:0
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
08.10.17	Unión La Calera - Deportes Copiapó	4:2
14.01.17	Unión La Calera - Deportes Copiapó	1:1
27.08.16	Deportes Copiapó - Unión La Calera	3:0

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