The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Coquimbo Unido 57.2%
Draw 25.6%
Unión La Calera 17.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59%
24.4%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.6%
23.8%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coquimbo Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Unión La Calera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coquimbo Unido than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (-1%)
Coquimbo Unido - Unión La Calera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Sanchez D. (G) 8. Camargo A. 16. Cornejo J. 3. Fernandez M. 7. Galani S. (C) 2. Gazzolo B. 9. Johansen N. 27. Riveros L. 18. Rodriguez P. 17. Salinas F. 15. Zavala C.
1. Avellaneda N. (G) 25. Diaz C. (C) 4. Gutierrez C. 27. Gutierrez D. 17. Hiriart M. 10. Mendez K. 5. Moya C. 3. Palma N. 9. Pozzo F. 24. Requena J. 14. Villanueva C.
Substitutes
11. Azocar Machuca A. E. 28. Cabrera S. 14. Cordero S. 1. Flores G. (G) 4. Hernandez E. 31. Pereira D. 29. Pons F. 12. Pratto L. 26. Soza L.
2. Andia Leon Y. W. 19. Campos M. 20. Cruz J. 18. Encinas A. 12. Espinoza N. (G) 6. Lavin V. 8. Leiva Y. 7. Oyarzo Munoz B. 29. Soto J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Diaz C. 🟨,
11', Hiriart M. 🟨,
45', Requena J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Salinas F. 🟨,
60', Villanueva C. ↓, Campos M. ↑,
60', Hiriart M. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
63', Cornejo J. ↓, Cordero S. ↑,
63', Rodriguez P. ↓, Cabrera S. ↑,
74', Riveros L. ↓, Azocar Machuca A. E. ↑,
74', Johansen N. ↓, Pons F. ↑,
80', Sanchez D. 🟨,
80', Moya C. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
82', Camargo A. 🟨,
84', Mendez K. 🟨,
86', 0 - 1, Campos M. ⚽,
88', Pozzo F. ↓, Andia Leon Y. W. ↑,
89', Camargo A. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Galani S. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Mendez K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Zavala C. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Diaz C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cabrera S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cruz J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Pratto L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Oyarzo Munoz B. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Sanchez D. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Campos M. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Cordero S. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Palma N. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Pons F. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Gutierrez C. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 1-0.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coquimbo won 5.
Coquimbo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Unión La Calera's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Coquimbo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Coquimbo has had a series of away games.
In this match, Coquimbo is the team to beat.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Coquimbo won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Coquimbo won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).
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Sanchez D. (G) 
Camargo A. 
Fernandez M. 
Riveros L. 
Gutierrez C. 
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