Match Info

Primera A Women - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Unión Santa Fe		Ferro Carril Oeste

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.25	4.00	1.38
	7.50	4.20	1.36
	7.82	4.34	1.39
	7.81	4.17	1.39
	7.70	4.25	1.37
	6.18	4.01	1.49
	7.60	4.00	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.41 ↑ (4.9)	4.14 ↑ (3.35)	1.4 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
12.3%

Draw
22.1%

Ferro Carril Oeste
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

26.9%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

26.7%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Santa Fe's form might have worsened.

Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferro Carril Oeste's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Unión Santa Fe - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 2, ⚽,
71', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11).

Unión Santa Fe has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ferro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ferro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ferro is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ferro W	10	4	2	4	17:17	0	14
12	Union de Santa Fe W	11	2	4	5	10:19	-9	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
20.06.26	Boca Juniors - Unión Santa Fe	3:0 ✺
13.06.26	Unión Santa Fe - Lanús	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	San Luis - Unión Santa Fe	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Social Atlético Televisión - Unión Santa Fe	5:0 ✺
09.05.26	Unión Santa Fe - Independiente	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- Ferro Carril Oeste Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
20.06.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Independiente	6:1 ✺
15.06.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
15.05.26	River Plate - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
08.05.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Banfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTWLL

Unión Santa Fe - Ferro Carril Oeste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide