Match Info

Division 1 - Round 3

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Skierniewice)

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Unia Skierniewice		Arka Gdynia

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.50	1.95	Watch
	3.25	3.30	2.05
	3.00	3.55	1.98
	3.37	3.79	2.09
	3.29	3.61	2.07	Watch
	3.25	3.65	2.05
	3.36	3.62	2.02	Watch
	3.30	3.30	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.88)	3.54 ↑ (3.13)	2.02 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Unia Skierniewice
28.3%

Draw
26%

Arka Gdynia
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

28.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

27%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Skierniewice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Arka Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arka Gdynia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Unia Skierniewice - Arka Gdynia Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Arka (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arka Gdynia will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pruszkowski S. (G) 15. Wolinski E. 28. Stepien M. (C) 3. Straus J. 18. Mierzwa J. 27. Bieronski J. 53. Dudek S. 24. Eizenchart B. 52. Gaska D. 10. Toporkiewicz K. 9. Sabillo K.	99. Arndt D. (G) 20. Gruszkowski K. 3. Szota S. 4. Komenda M. 94. Gojny D. 14. Kun D. 23. Lewkot S. 16. Solecki K. 77. Walus F. 39. Milewski M. 9. Gutkovskis V. (C)
Substitutes
77. Burkiewicz A. 7. Czarnecki J. 2. Gavrylenko O. 17. Kaminski J. 20. Kosior M. 6. Makuch D. 26. Melich O. 21. Szmyd M. 12. Wodzicki A. (G)	28. Ambrosiewicz M. 72. Demirovic E. 44. Dominguez J. . Dziegielewski N. 1. Grobelny J. (G) 71. Kowalski J. 19. Pawlowski B. 98. Rama E. 80. Zacharewicz W.
Coaches
Socha K.	Jarolim M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Gaska D. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Sabillo K. ⚽,
29', Mierzwa J. 🟨,
35', Wolinski E. 🟨,
37', Stepien M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mierzwa J. ↓, Czarnecki J. ↑,
46', Lewkot S. ↓, Ambrosiewicz M. ↑,
46', Walus F. ↓, Demirovic E. ↑,
58', Milewski M. ↓, Dziegielewski N. ↑,
58', Kun D. ↓, Rama E. ↑,
62', Szota S. 🟨,
65', Sabillo K. ↓, Burkiewicz A. ↑,
73', Gojny D. 🟨,
75', Gojny D. 🟨,
78', Dudek S. ↓, Makuch D. ↑,
78', Toporkiewicz K. ↓, Melich O. ↑,
84', Gaska D. ↓, Szmyd M. ↑,
87', Solecki K. ↓, Kowalski J. ↑,
90+4', Komenda M. 🟨,

Preview

Unia Skierniewice is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arka is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Arka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Arka will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Arka Gdynia: 4.05%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11:11	0	11
13	Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10:15	-5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Cup
05.08.26	Unia Skierniewice - Sokół Kleczew	2:3 penalties ✺
Polish Division 1
01.08.26	Polonia Warsaw - Unia Skierniewice	3:1 ✺
26.07.26	Unia Skierniewice - Stal Mielec	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Unia Skierniewice - KKS Kalisz	4:0 ✺
18.07.26	Unia Skierniewice - Legia II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWT
- Arka Gdynia
Polish Division 1
01.08.26	Arka Gdynia - Stal Rzeszów	4:0 ✺
24.07.26	Odra Opole - Arka Gdynia	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Arka Gdynia - Luzino	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Arka Gdynia - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:4 ✺
03.07.26	Arka Gdynia - Petrolul Ploieşti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches