Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 16

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Jagiellonia II Białystok		GKS Bełchatów

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.55	3.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 (1.9)	3.55 (3.55)	3.21 (3.21)

The best margin for this event is 12%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia II Białystok
47%

Draw
25.2%

GKS Bełchatów
27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

22.4%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Jagiellonia II Białystok have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for GKS Bełchatów have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jagiellonia II Białystok that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, Zalewski Z. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)

Jagiellonia II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bełchatów has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bełchatów may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jagiellonia II could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
31.10.25	Troszyn - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Warta Sieradz	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Widzew Łódź II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLLT
- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.11.25	GKS Bełchatów - ŁKS Łomża	1:4 ✺
26.10.25	Widzew Łódź II - GKS Bełchatów	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	GKS Bełchatów - Wikielec	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Bełchatów	4:1 ✺
04.10.25	GKS Bełchatów - Wigry Suwałki	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.03.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - GKS Bełchatów	1:2
21.08.24	GKS Bełchatów - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:0
18.05.24	GKS Bełchatów - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:0
29.10.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - GKS Bełchatów	3:2

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