Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 32

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Lomzy (Lomza)


	ŁKS Łomża		GKS Bełchatów

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	6.75
	1.25	5.35	8.1
	1.25	5.11	7.28
	1.29	5.28	7.75	Watch
	1.33	4.5	7
	1.25	5.35	8.75	Watch
	1.49	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.49)	4.93 ↑ (4.2)	7.16 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łomża
69%

Draw
18.4%

GKS Bełchatów
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

21%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

20.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łomża has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ŁKS Łomża's performance.

GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GKS Bełchatów might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ŁKS Łomża than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ŁKS Łomża that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GKS Bełchatów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ŁKS Łomża - GKS Bełchatów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Klups T. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Antkowiak H. (Penalty Awarded),
40', 3 - 0, Antkowiak H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 4 - 0, Antkowiak H. ⚽,
90+8', 5 - 0, Olszewski B. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 14).

Łomża is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Bełchatów has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Łomża may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Łomża is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Łomża won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Łomża won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	LKS Lomza	11	0	3	8	10:25	-15	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łomża
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - ŁKS Łomża	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - ŁKS Łomża	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	ŁKS Łomża - Legia II	3:0 ✺
25.04.26	Wikielec - ŁKS Łomża	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	ŁKS Łomża - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWT
- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.05.26	GKS Bełchatów - Widzew Łódź II	1:3 ✺
08.05.26	Wikielec - GKS Bełchatów	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	GKS Bełchatów - Olimpia Elbląg	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Wigry Suwałki - GKS Bełchatów	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	GKS Bełchatów - Warta Sieradz	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.11.25	GKS Bełchatów - ŁKS Łomża	1:4
29.03.25	ŁKS Łomża - GKS Bełchatów	1:1
31.08.24	GKS Bełchatów - ŁKS Łomża	2:0
20.04.24	ŁKS Łomża - GKS Bełchatów	3:0
23.09.23	GKS Bełchatów - ŁKS Łomża	5:1

Upcoming Matches