Match Info

Division 2 - Round 13

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Skierniewice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Unia Skierniewice		GKS Jastrzębie

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.21	5.35	9.8
	1.23	5.76	10.95
	1.06	10.92	22.79	Watch
	1.23	5.1	11.2	Watch
	1.28	4.9	7.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.35)	6.41 ↑ (4.88)	12.4 ↑ (6.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Skierniewice
77.8%

Draw
14.6%

GKS Jastrzębie
7.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

18.7%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

17.4%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Skierniewice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unia Skierniewice's performance.

GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GKS Jastrzębie might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unia Skierniewice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GKS Jastrzębie could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Unia Skierniewice - GKS Jastrzębie Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Unia Skierniewice will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Unia Skierniewice (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grocholski R. (G) 7. Czarnecki J. 25. Jaroch J. 6. Makuch D. 26. Melich O. 9. Sabillo K. 28. Stepien M. (C) 3. Straus J. 21. Szmyd M. 10. Toporkiewicz K. 15. Wolinski E.	31. Neugebauer B. (G) 22. Baranowicz B. 5. Bednorz K. 14. Gosciniarek K. 15. Gromek W. 11. Jakuc O. 17. Koczy K. 3. Kriegler B. 9. Matysek S. 4. Wybraniec N. (C) 13. Zielinski B.
Substitutes
14. Czerwik J. 52. Gaska D. 39. Kononov M. 20. Kosior M. 8. Lawrynowicz I. 12. Murawski J. (G) 19. Soltysinski S. 23. Turek K. 99. Zyntek I.	23. Bykowski M. 10. Gebala P. 16. Gluc M. 12. Herman S. (G) 18. Kakolewski I. 25. Mozler L. 2. Tomal J. 24. Winkler O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Sabillo K. ⚽,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bednorz K. ↓, Kakolewski I. ↑,
46', Matysek S. ↓, Gebala P. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Szmyd M. ⚽,
53', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
78', Gromek W. ↓, Bykowski M. ↑,
87', Jakuc O. ↓, Winkler O. ↑,
87', Baranowicz B. ↓, Gluc M. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Unia Skierniewice is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

GKS Jastrzębie has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Unia Skierniewice is the undeniable favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 2
11.10.25	Sokół Kleczew - Unia Skierniewice	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Unia Skierniewice - Śląsk Wrocław 2	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Unia Skierniewice	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Unia Skierniewice	3:0 ✺
12.09.25	Unia Skierniewice - Hutnik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLW
- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 2
11.10.25	GKS Jastrzębie - KKS Kalisz	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Resovia Rzeszów	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - GKS Jastrzębie	3:2 penalties ✺
Polish Division 2
20.09.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - GKS Jastrzębie	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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