Match Info

Division 2 - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Grudziądzu (Grudziądz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Olimpia Grudziądz		GKS Jastrzębie

	1	X	2
	1.35	5.22	6.45
	1.11	7.97	21.02	Watch
	1.34	4.45	7.8	Watch
	1.5	4.2	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.5)	5.46 ↑ (4.2)	9.97 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Grudziądz
72.7%

Draw
17.6%

GKS Jastrzębie
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

21.2%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

20.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Grudziądz's performance.

GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GKS Jastrzębie might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Grudziądz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GKS Jastrzębie could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olimpia Grudziądz - GKS Jastrzębie Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Sobolewski S. (G) 5. Czajka B. 16. Fietz K. 44. Frelek D. (C) 18. Jarzec K. 7. Kaczmarek T. 77. Kobryn R. 9. Mas M. 26. Sewerzynski O. 93. Tsyupa I. 25. Zbiciak B.	1. Molga M. (G) 22. Baranowicz B. 23. Bykowski M. 14. Gosciniarek K. 11. Jakuc O. 17. Koczy K. 3. Kriegler B. 6. Maszkowski S. 9. Matysek S. 16. Mroczko S. (C) 2. Tomal J.
Substitutes
21. Bonikowski J. 33. Budchan E. (G) 10. Cichon K. 3. Klimczak A. 72. Koperski F. 11. Krocz S. 13. Moneta L. 69. Pawlowski M. 42. Zablonski P.	5. Bednorz K. 15. Gromek W. 18. Kakolewski I. 25. Mozler L. 31. Neugebauer B. (G) 20. Osipiak M. 13. Zielinski B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Fietz K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Frelek D. ↓, Cichon K. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Mas M. ⚽,
60', 3 - 0, Jarzec K. ⚽,
87', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 3.

Olimpia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

GKS Jastrzębie is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

GKS Jastrzębie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Olimpia is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Olimpia will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 2
17.09.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:4 ✺
31.08.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Olimpia Grudziądz	3:3 ✺
24.08.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Śląsk Wrocław 2	3:2 ✺
15.08.25	Resovia Rzeszów - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWTWT
- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 2
17.09.25	Hutnik - GKS Jastrzębie	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Swit Skolwin - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1 ✺
15.08.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
03.05.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0
06.10.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:2
06.04.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - GKS Jastrzębie	2:1
25.09.23	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Grudziądz	3:2
Polish Division 1
16.07.20	Olimpia Grudziądz - GKS Jastrzębie	0:0
26.10.19	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:0
Polish Cup
16.07.16	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:0

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