Match Info

Division 1 - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Skierniewice)

Referee: Kuropatwa M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Unia Skierniewice		Miedź Legnica

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.50	3.60	2.35
	2.62	3.45	2.38
	2.72	3.8	2.51
	2.61	3.75	2.42	Watch
	2.65	3.55	2.45
	2.62	3.67	2.41	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.6)	3.59 ↑ (3.08)	2.39 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Skierniewice
35.7%

Draw
25.7%

Miedź Legnica
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28.7%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

29.2%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Skierniewice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (-2%)

Unia Skierniewice - Miedź Legnica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pruszkowski S. (G) 15. Wolinski E. 28. Stepien M. (C) 3. Straus J. 18. Mierzwa J. 27. Bieronski J. 26. Melich O. 24. Eizenchart B. 10. Toporkiewicz K. 9. Sabillo K. 52. Gaska D.	1. Lucic I. (G) 17. Maliszewski I. 99. Noiszewski K. 78. Mazur M. 3. Grudzinski M. (C) 70. Hajda W. 10. Letniowski J. 18. Cordoba A. 80. Petrovic Z. 98. Antonik K. 21. Stanclik D.
Substitutes
77. Burkiewicz A. 7. Czarnecki J. 2. Gavrylenko O. 19. Kalisz K. 17. Kaminski J. 20. Kosior M. 6. Makuch D. 21. Szmyd M. 12. Wodzicki A. (G)	7. Bochnak M. 30. Jovicic M. 95. Mansfeld M. 29. Michaleczko K. 11. Norlin G. 8. Serafin J. 12. Sydorenko D. (G) 49. Szymoniak O. 23. Zur F.
Coaches
Socha K.	Niedzwiedz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Sabillo K. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Cordoba A. ⚽, Stanclik D. (A),
40', Hajda W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', Bieronski J. ↓, Makuch D. ↑,
58', Eizenchart B. ↓, Czarnecki J. ↑,
63', Maliszewski I. 🟨,
67', 0 - 2, Antonik K. ⚽,
71', Toporkiewicz K. ↓, Szmyd M. ↑,
71', Melich O. ↓, Burkiewicz A. ↑,
71', Maliszewski I. ↓, Szymoniak O. ↑,
71', Letniowski J. ↓, Serafin J. ↑,
77', 0 - 3, Stanclik D. ⚽,
80', Hajda W. ↓, Bochnak M. ↑,
80', Stanclik D. ↓, Mansfeld M. ↑,
81', Gaska D. ↓, Kalisz K. ↑,
84', Antonik K. ↓, Norlin G. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Unia Skierniewice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Unia Skierniewice has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Legnica: 4.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Legnica	9	4	2	3	14:9	5	14
13	Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10:15	-5	10

Last Results with these Odds

Miedź Legnica - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.2%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 1
10.08.26	Unia Skierniewice - Arka Gdynia	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.26	Unia Skierniewice - Sokół Kleczew	2:3 penalties ✺
Polish Division 1
01.08.26	Polonia Warsaw - Unia Skierniewice	3:1 ✺
26.07.26	Unia Skierniewice - Stal Mielec	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Unia Skierniewice - KKS Kalisz	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLW
- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
08.08.26	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Miedź Legnica - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Miedź Legnica - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Piast Gliwice - Miedź Legnica	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWTWT

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