Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 27

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday


	Unia Skierniewice		Sokół Ostróda

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4
	1.66	3.67	4.35
	1.68	3.74	4.5	Watch
	1.66	3.9	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.55)	3.73 ↓ (4)	4.2 ↓ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Skierniewice
54.1%

Draw
24.3%

Sokół Ostróda
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

22.5%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

15.9%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Skierniewice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Sokół Ostróda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unia Skierniewice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Ostróda than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sokół Ostróda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 14).

Unia Skierniewice is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ostróda has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Unia Skierniewice is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Unia Skierniewice won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Unia Skierniewice won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.04.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Unia Skierniewice	1:0 ✺
22.04.23	Unia Skierniewice - Pelikan Łowicz	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Unia Skierniewice	4:0 ✺
12.04.23	Unia Skierniewice - Concordia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Unia Skierniewice - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLTL
- Sokół Ostróda
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.04.23	Sokół Ostróda - ŁKS Łódź II	0:2 ✺
23.04.23	Concordia Elbląg - Sokół Ostróda	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Sokół Ostróda - Olimpia Zambrów	2:3 ✺
08.04.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Sokół Ostróda	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Sokół Ostróda - Warta Sieradz	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
01.10.22	Sokół Ostróda - Unia Skierniewice	0:4
12.10.19	Unia Skierniewice - Sokół Ostróda	0:6
04.05.19	Sokół Ostróda - Unia Skierniewice	3:0
15.09.18	Unia Skierniewice - Sokół Ostróda	5:1

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