Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 24

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	Sokół Ostróda		Olimpia Zambrów

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.4	3.1
	2	3.4	3.1
	1.98	3.3	3.04
	2	3.65	3.2	Watch
	1.98	3.65	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.9)	3.48 ↓ (3.6)	3.09 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokół Ostróda
45.1%

Draw
25.8%

Olimpia Zambrów
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

25.3%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

21%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokół Ostróda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Olimpia Zambrów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokół Ostróda than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sokół Ostróda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Zambrów than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Sokół Ostróda - Olimpia Zambrów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ostróda won 4.

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Ostróda will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ostróda won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ostróda won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokół Ostróda
Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.04.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Sokół Ostróda	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Sokół Ostróda - Warta Sieradz	0:4 ✺
25.03.23	Legia II - Sokół Ostróda	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Sokół Ostróda - Mławianka Mława	1:4 ✺
11.03.23	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Sokół Ostróda	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTLL
- Olimpia Zambrów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.04.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Olimpia Zambrów	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:5 ✺
19.03.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Olimpia Zambrów	2:1 ✺
14.03.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Legionovia Legionowo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.09.22	Olimpia Zambrów - Sokół Ostróda	2:3
17.08.19	Sokół Ostróda - Olimpia Zambrów	4:1
08.06.19	Sokół Ostróda - Olimpia Zambrów	1:2
27.10.18	Olimpia Zambrów - Sokół Ostróda	1:4
24.03.18	Olimpia Zambrów - Sokół Ostróda	1:4
19.08.17	Sokół Ostróda - Olimpia Zambrów	2:0

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