Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 28

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday


	Unia Tarnów		KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski

	1	X	2
	34	12	1.04
	27	9.6	1.04
	21.93	17.28	1.01
	20	9.93	1.05	Watch
	28	10.5	1.02	Watch
	27	9.6	1.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	26.32 ↑ (13)	11.49 ↑ (8)	1.03 ↓ (1.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Tarnów
3.5%

Draw
8%

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
88.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.9%

11.3%

81.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Tarnów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski's recent form is better than expected.

Unia Tarnów - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Mezyk D. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Unia Tarnów is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unia Tarnów won 1.

Unia Tarnów has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ostrowiec is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Unia Tarnów may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ostrowiec is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Unia Tarnów won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Unia Tarnów won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Tarnów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.04.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Unia Tarnów	4:1 ✺
18.04.25	Unia Tarnów - Wiązownica	0:3 ✺
12.04.25	Lewart Lubartów - Unia Tarnów	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Unia Tarnów - Czarni Połaniec	1:4 ✺
29.03.25	Wisła II Kraków - Unia Tarnów	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.04.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Chełmianka Chełm	3:0 ✺
17.04.25	Korona Kielce 2 - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.10.24	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Unia Tarnów	2:1
06.04.24	Unia Tarnów - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	2:0
09.09.23	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Unia Tarnów	3:0
09.06.23	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Unia Tarnów	2:0
12.11.22	Unia Tarnów - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:1
Club Friendly
23.07.22	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Unia Tarnów	5:3
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.05.22	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Unia Tarnów	2:1

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