Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 33

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday


	Unia Tarnów		Karpaty Krosno

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.5	9.25
	1.23	5.5	7.8
	1.2	6	10.1	Watch
	1.27	5	8.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.55)	5.5 ↑ (4.25)	8.81 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Tarnów
73.4%

Draw
16.4%

Karpaty Krosno
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

21.3%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

20.6%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Tarnów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unia Tarnów's performance.

Karpaty Krosno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karpaty Krosno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Tarnów than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unia Tarnów that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karpaty Krosno than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karpaty Krosno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unia Tarnów - Karpaty Krosno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Radulj K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
59', 1 - 1, ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Sula D. ⚽,
80', 1 - 3, Mashchenko V. ⚽,
87', 1 - 4, Mashchenko V. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Tarnów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
25.05.24	Star Starachowice - Unia Tarnów	3:2 ✺
18.05.24	Unia Tarnów - Czarni Połaniec	2:3 ✺
15.05.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Unia Tarnów	3:0 ✺
12.05.24	Unia Tarnów - Świdniczanka Świdnik	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Podhale Nowy Targ - Unia Tarnów	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Karpaty Krosno
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
24.05.24	Karpaty Krosno - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:1 ✺
18.05.24	Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski - Karpaty Krosno	1:2 ✺
15.05.24	Karpaty Krosno - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:2 ✺
10.05.24	Wiązownica - Karpaty Krosno	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Karpaty Krosno - Avia Świdnik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
10.11.23	Karpaty Krosno - Unia Tarnów	1:1
21.04.18	Unia Tarnów - Karpaty Krosno	3:0
09.09.17	Karpaty Krosno - Unia Tarnów	4:1

Unia Tarnów - Karpaty Krosno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide