Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 30

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday


	Karpaty Krosno		Podlasie Biała Podlaska

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.9	1.6
	4.61	4.16	1.6	Watch
	4.24	4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (3.25)	4.02 ↑ (4)	1.6 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karpaty Krosno
20.8%

Draw
22.5%

Podlasie Biała Podlaska
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

22.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

18.7%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karpaty Krosno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karpaty Krosno's form might have worsened.

Podlasie Biała Podlaska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Podlasie Biała Podlaska's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karpaty Krosno than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karpaty Krosno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podlasie Biała Podlaska than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Podlasie Biała Podlaska, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Lepiarz D. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Kosieradzki J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

In this match Biała Podlaska is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karpaty Krosno won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Karpaty Krosno won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karpaty Krosno
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
10.05.24	Wiązownica - Karpaty Krosno	2:1 ✺
04.05.24	Karpaty Krosno - Avia Świdnik	2:3 ✺
27.04.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Karpaty Krosno	6:0 ✺
19.04.24	Karpaty Krosno - Garbarnia Kraków	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Wiślanie Jaśkowice - Karpaty Krosno	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
10.05.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Star Starachowice	0:3 ✺
04.05.24	Czarni Połaniec - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:4 ✺
20.04.24	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
21.10.23	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Karpaty Krosno	4:1
06.06.18	Karpaty Krosno - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:3
19.08.17	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Karpaty Krosno	1:0
17.06.17	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Karpaty Krosno	1:3
12.11.16	Karpaty Krosno - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:3

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