Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 28

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Karpaty Krosno		Avia Świdnik

	1	X	2
	3.94	4.3	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↓ (4.25)	4.3 ↑ (4.25)	1.5 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 15.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karpaty Krosno
22%

Draw
20.2%

Avia Świdnik
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karpaty Krosno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Avia Świdnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karpaty Krosno than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Bialek W. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 2, Uliczny P. ⚽,
66', 1 - 3, Bialek W. ⚽,
90+13', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Karpaty Krosno has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Avia Świdnik is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karpaty Krosno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Avia Świdnik is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Karpaty Krosno won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Karpaty Krosno won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karpaty Krosno
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.04.24	Chełmianka Chełm - Karpaty Krosno	6:0 ✺
19.04.24	Karpaty Krosno - Garbarnia Kraków	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Wiślanie Jaśkowice - Karpaty Krosno	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	Sokół Sieniawa - Karpaty Krosno	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Karpaty Krosno - Star Starachowice	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.04.24	Avia Świdnik - Star Starachowice	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Czarni Połaniec - Avia Świdnik	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Avia Świdnik - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Avia Świdnik	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Avia Świdnik - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.10.23	Avia Świdnik - Karpaty Krosno	0:1
16.06.18	Avia Świdnik - Karpaty Krosno	1:1
18.11.17	Karpaty Krosno - Avia Świdnik	1:1

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