Match Info

Date: 24 February 2021, Wednesday


	Uniao Almeirim		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.75
	4.1	3.05	1.8
	3.9	3.05	1.89
	4.33	3.21	1.96
	3.92	3.3	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.8)	3.2 ↓ (3.34)	1.86 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uniao Almeirim
22.2%

Draw
28.6%

União de Santarém
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

27.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

21.7%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uniao Almeirim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uniao Almeirim than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that União de Santarém could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Uniao Almeirim is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

União de Santarém in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Uniao Almeirim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match União de Santarém is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Uniao Almeirim won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uniao Almeirim
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
21.02.21	Loures - Uniao Almeirim	1:0 ✺
16.02.21	Uniao Almeirim - Lourinhanense	3:0 ✺
13.02.21	Uniao Almeirim - Torreense	1:2 ✺
05.02.21	Caldas - Uniao Almeirim	1:1 ✺
28.12.20	Uniao Almeirim - Sintrense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLTW
- União de Santarém
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
21.02.21	Caldas - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
14.02.21	União de Santarém - Pero Pinheiro	1:0 ✺
07.02.21	1 Dezembro - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
31.01.21	União de Santarém - Alverca	3:2 ✺
24.01.21	União de Santarém - Lourinhanense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.11.20	União de Santarém - Uniao Almeirim	2:0

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