Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 6

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Conde de Sucena (Sintra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	1 Dezembro		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3
	2.37	3.19	3.18
	3.26	2.21	3.16	Watch
	2.24	3.02	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.5)	2.86 ↓ (3.11)	3.11 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

1 Dezembro
37.2%

Draw
32.8%

União de Santarém
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

30.2%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

29.4%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1 Dezembro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1 Dezembro than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

1 Dezembro - União de Santarém Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. 1 Dezembro will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. 1 Dezembro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
47. Oliveira J. (G) 44. Gomes C. 33. Mane L. 31. Gaio P. 39. Wieselsberger J. 50. Karvounis P. 55. Vito 85. Infante A. 22. Graciano T. 79. Cardoso D. 11. Flavinho	22. Hidalgo N. (G) 19. Silva R. 14. Simoes J. 30. Reis N. 58. Monteiro D. 16. Grilo M. (C) 6. Nanco I. 17. Aguas G. 49. Castro T. 11. Goncalves E. F. 90. Koume S.
Substitutes
10. Caetano D. 91. Diawara M. 1. Duarte F. (G) 24. Edu 7. Ferreira D. 20. Harramiz S. 21. Isabelinha 6. Lima P. 2. Ramos P.	18. Bamba 3. Joao Ricardo 10. Madeira T. 24. Medalli N. 78. Pedro Teixeira (G) 4. Pereira P. 76. Ramos D. 5. Rodeia M. 29. Teixeira R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Infante A. 🟨,
43', Silva R. ↓, Joao Ricardo ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Flavinho ↓, Diawara M. ↑,
46', Wieselsberger J. ↓, Isabelinha ↑,
55', Grilo M. 🟨,
62', Karvounis P. ↓, Lima P. ↑,
64', 🟨,
68', Castro T. ↓, Medalli N. ↑,
68', Goncalves E. F. ↓, Bamba ↑,
72', Reis N. 🟨,
73', Cardoso D. ↓, Ferreira D. ↑,
79', Graciano T. 🟨,
87', Koume S. ↓, Madeira T. ↑,
88', Isabelinha ↓, Harramiz S. ↑,
90', Nanco I. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 1 Dezembro won 0.

1 Dezembro is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Santarém is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

1 Dezembro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, 1 Dezembro has had a series of away games.

1 Dezembro might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that 1 Dezembro will win today's game, with odds of 2.26.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, 1 Dezembro won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, 1 Dezembro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SU 1 Dezembro
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Peniche - 1 Dezembro	4:5 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
14.09.25	Caldas - 1 Dezembro	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Lajense - 1 Dezembro	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.25	1 Dezembro - Amora	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Covilhã - 1 Dezembro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTWTW
- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
24.09.25	União de Santarém - Caldas	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Amarante - União de Santarém	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
14.09.25	Amora - União de Santarém	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	União de Santarém - Covilhã	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Académica Coimbra - União de Santarém	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
05.01.25	União de Santarém - 1 Dezembro	1:0
14.09.24	1 Dezembro - União de Santarém	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
02.04.23	1 Dezembro - União de Santarém	0:0
11.12.22	União de Santarém - 1 Dezembro	1:1
07.02.21	1 Dezembro - União de Santarém	0:2
01.12.20	União de Santarém - 1 Dezembro	2:0

Upcoming Matches