Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Tommaso Dal Molin (Arzignano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Union ArzignanoChiampo		Lumezzane

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.17	3	3.51
	2.15	3.12	3.43	Watch
	2.08	3.02	3.49	Watch
	2.12	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 (2.12)	3.05 ↑ (3)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union ArzignanoChiampo
43.3%

Draw
30.2%

Lumezzane
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

30.6%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union ArzignanoChiampo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Lumezzane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Union ArzignanoChiampo - Lumezzane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Manfrin F. (G) 23. Bernardi E. 15. Bianchi N. 33. Boffelli A. (C) 13. Cariolato F. 4. Chiarello R. 6. Lakti E. 9. Mattioli A. 10. Minesso M. 16. Moretti M. 5. Rossoni S.	50. Drago G. (G) 5. D'Agostino S. 17. De Marino D. 9. Donnarumma A. 7. Ferro M. 10. Malotti M. 23. Moscati M. 95. Motta M. 15. Ndiaye M. 8. Rocca M. 19. Rolando M.
Substitutes
20. Antoniazzi M. 26. Boccia S. 17. Castegnaro J. 27. Coppola A. 8. Damiani M. 7. Lanzi E. 12. Lotto R. (G) 57. Milillo A. 32. Nanni N. 1. Nespola M. (G) 25. Spaggiari R. 19. Toniolo F. 44. Valentini F.	99. Belvedere F. 20. Caccavo L. 30. Cantamessa S. 77. Diodato S. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 29. Gallea F. 11. Ghillani A. 21. Iori M. 4. Paghera F. 39. Serpa A. 76. Simoncelli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', Rossoni S. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Chiarello R. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Ndiaye M. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Minesso M. ⚽,
45+2', Drago G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', Mattioli A. 🟨,
49', D'Agostino S. ↓, Ghillani A. ↑,
53', Ferro M. ↓, Iori M. ↑,
53', Donnarumma A. ↓, Caccavo L. ↑,
55', 3 - 1, Bernardi E. ⚽,
63', Motta M. ↓, Diodato S. ↑,
64', 3 - 2, Caccavo L. ⚽,
65', Cariolato F. ↓, Boccia S. ↑,
66', Moretti M. ↓, Damiani M. ↑,
66', Minesso M. ↓, Nanni N. ↑,
76', Bianchi N. ↓, Coppola A. ↑,
83', 3 - 3, Moscati M. ⚽,
90', Mattioli A. ↓, Castegnaro J. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Lumezzane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

ArzignanoChiampo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ArzignanoChiampo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, ArzignanoChiampo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Union ArzignanoChiampo - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.25%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
17.10.25	Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Ospitaletto - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Trento - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:2 ✺
25.09.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Alcione	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTTL
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
19.10.25	Lumezzane - Trento	1:1 ✺
13.10.25	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Lumezzane	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Giana Erminio - Lumezzane	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Lumezzane - Inter U23	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Cittadella - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
08.02.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Lumezzane	1:1
30.09.24	Lumezzane - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0
01.03.24	Lumezzane - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.11.23	Lumezzane - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ET
Italian Serie C Group A
24.10.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Lumezzane	2:0

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