Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday


	Union Fürstenwalde		Carl Zeiss Jena

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.5	1.55
	4	4.6	1.57
	4.4	4.5	1.56
	4.19	4.9	1.57
	5	4.7	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↓ (6.2)	4.64 ↑ (4)	1.56 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Fürstenwalde
21.2%

Draw
19.8%

Carl Zeiss Jena
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

22.7%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

21.9%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Fürstenwalde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Union Fürstenwalde's performance.

Carl Zeiss Jena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Fürstenwalde than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union Fürstenwalde that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carl Zeiss Jena than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carl Zeiss Jena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Union Fürstenwalde - Carl Zeiss Jena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2).

Recent matches Fürstenwalde is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carl Zeiss Jena is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fürstenwalde could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carl Zeiss Jena is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fürstenwalde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Fürstenwalde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Union Fürstenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
08.05.22	Optik Rathenow - Union Fürstenwalde	2:0 ✺
29.04.22	Union Fürstenwalde - Berliner FC Dynamo	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Luckenwalde - Union Fürstenwalde	1:2 ✺
17.04.22	Union Fürstenwalde - Chemie Leipzig	0:0 ✺
10.04.22	Hertha Berlin II - Union Fürstenwalde	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 LTWTL
- Carl Zeiss Jena
German Regionalliga Nordost
07.05.22	Carl Zeiss Jena - Tennis Borussia Berlin	2:1 ✺
29.04.22	Auerbach - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:3 ✺
22.04.22	Chemnitzer - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	Carl Zeiss Jena - Optik Rathenow	6:2 ✺
10.04.22	Berliner FC Dynamo - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
28.11.21	Carl Zeiss Jena - Union Fürstenwalde	4:1
26.08.20	Union Fürstenwalde - Carl Zeiss Jena	3:1
26.02.17	Union Fürstenwalde - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:2
27.08.16	Carl Zeiss Jena - Union Fürstenwalde	4:0

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