Match Info

MOROCCO: Botola Pro - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Prince Moulay Hassan (Rabat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Morocco	Arryadia 3, SNRT Live


	Union de Touarga		Moghreb Tétouan

	1	X	2
	1.8	2.9	4.5
	1.93	2.87	3.9
	1.95	3	4.33
	1.9	2.95	4.65
	1.91	2.98	4.37	Watch
	1.87	3.15	4.36	Watch
	1.95	3	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.11)	2.98 ↓ (2.99)	4.35 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union de Touarga
48.2%

Draw
30.8%

Moghreb Tétouan
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

30.5%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

29.6%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union de Touarga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Moghreb Tétouan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moghreb Tétouan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union de Touarga than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moghreb Tétouan than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Union de Touarga - Moghreb Tétouan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Union de Touarga will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Moghreb Tétouan will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. El Houasli A. (G) 28. Akharraz Y. 10. Chemlal M. (C) 22. Dahak M. 7. Eddaou A. 4. El Khalej T. 8. Essahel M. 13. Kajai Y. 25. Lagrimi I. 5. Mourid A. 80. N'Diaye A.	13. El Filali Y. (C) 97. Al Cheikhi M. 17. Amhih Y. 21. Ben Khajjou Z. 33. Dades M. 9. Darai H. 95. El Ghazouani Y. 26. Errahouli I. 31. Kamal M. 90. Lakhal A. 3. Madkour A.
Substitutes
14. Ahannach S. 21. Ait Lamkadem R. 1. Asmama R. (G) 15. El Khalej Y. 31. Essadak H. 30. Farah A. 23. Gadio P. 33. Nanah A. 19. Zraa Y.	93. Al Majdoub A. 64. Ben Youssef H. 77. El Houari Y. 1. El Jourbaoui M. (G) 11. El Megri B. 44. Karmoun M. 66. Karraz Y. 98. Merzouka S. B. 96. Rahim M.
Coaches
Zamrat A.	Jrindou A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Errahouli I. ↓, Karmoun M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Akharraz Y. ↓, Essadak H. ↑,
46', Eddaou A. ↓, Ait Lamkadem R. ↑,
64', Lakhal A. ↓, El Megri B. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Essadak H. ⚽,
69', Essahel M. ↓, Gadio P. ↑,
72', El Khalej T. 🟨,
75', Darai H. ↓, El Houari Y. ↑,
75', El Ghazouani Y. ↓, Merzouka S. B. ↑,
81', El Houari Y. 🟨,
81', Chemlal M. ↓, Farah A. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Botola Pro (Relegation)).

Union de Touarga is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Moghreb Tétouan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Moghreb Tétouan have a series of home games.

Union de Touarga will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Union de Touarga won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Union de Touarga won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union de Touarga
Moroccan Botola
28.09.24	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - Union de Touarga	0:0 ✺
20.09.24	Union de Touarga - Wydad Casablanca	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Maghreb Fez - Union de Touarga	1:2 ✺
Moroccan Excellence Cup
07.09.24	Union de Touarga - Stade Marocain	2:1 ✺
Moroccan Botola
30.08.24	Union de Touarga - FUS Rabat	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TTWWT
- Moghreb Tétouan
Moroccan Botola
29.09.24	Moghreb Tétouan - CODM de Meknès	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Moghreb Tétouan - Maghreb Fez	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Wydad Casablanca - Moghreb Tétouan	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.09.24	Moghreb Tétouan - Olympique Khouribga	2:2 ✺
Moroccan Botola
31.08.24	Moghreb Tétouan - Olympic Safi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola
27.05.24	Union de Touarga - Moghreb Tétouan	1:0
28.12.23	Moghreb Tétouan - Union de Touarga	1:1
05.03.23	Union de Touarga - Moghreb Tétouan	1:1
02.10.22	Moghreb Tétouan - Union de Touarga	1:1

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