The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unionistas de Salamanca 38.9%
Draw 30.6%
Lugo 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
29.5%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.3%
29%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unionistas de Salamanca's form might have worsened.
Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unionistas de Salamanca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unionistas de Salamanca - Lugo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Emilio (G) 2. Morer D. 4. Mayor R. 3. Serrano M. 5. Luis Alcalde 11. Gomez A. 6. Gil A. 22. Chatiliez W. 14. Marcelo A. 21. Retu 9. Ferrer P.
25. Embadje F. (G) 19. Lucero R. 5. Moreno P. 4. Garriz I. 3. Haro P. 6. Presa K. 20. Ulloa A. 14. Gallar A. 15. Parrilla P. 21. Berzal G. 17. Chiqui
Substitutes
20. Casas A. 1. Daza A. (G) 7. de Bustos H. 10. de la Nava C. 18. Gonzalez D. 8. Lendinez J. 19. Mutilva C. 16. Rivera G. 17. Saidi A.
13. Candal J. (G) 11. Dauda M. 1. Martinez M. (G) 22. Munoz M. 23. Pascual H. 8. Perera A. 2. Rodriguez Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Berzal G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', Parrilla P. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Gomez A. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Berzal G. ↓, Dauda M. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Presa K. ⚽,
66', Gomez A. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
66', Chatiliez W. ↓, de Bustos H. ↑,
69', Moreno P. 🟨,
70', Retu 🟨,
72', Luis Alcalde ↓, Lendinez J. ↑,
72', Gil A. ↓, de la Nava C. ↑,
80', Mayor R. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Gallar A. (Penalty Awarded),
88', Emilio 🟥,
90+1', Presa K. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
90+1', Moreno P. ↓, Pascual H. ↑,
90+1', Ulloa A. ↓, Munoz M. ↑,
90+3', Morer D. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unionistas won 1.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Lugo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Unionistas might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Unionistas won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Unionistas won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Lugo
6
5
1
0
9:3
6
16
15
Unionistas
6
2
0
4
9:12
-3
6
Last Results with these Odds
Unionistas de Salamanca - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.65%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.
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Emilio (G) 
Chatiliez W. 
Embadje F. (G) 
Lucero R. 
Saidi A. 
Dauda M. 
