The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lugo 47.4%
Draw 27.9%
Deportivo A Coruña B 24.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.9%
24.6%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.5%
23.1%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugo's form might have worsened.
Deportivo A Coruña B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo A Coruña B's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña B than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo A Coruña B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lugo - Deportivo A Coruña B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martinez M. (C) 19. Lucero R. 18. Hermoso K. 5. Moreno P. 3. Haro P. 15. Parrilla P. 20. Ulloa A. 16. Palma A. 14. Gallar A. 17. Chiqui 11. Dauda M.
13. Rios H. (C) 2. Teijo E. 15. Fons F. 4. Fernandez S. 30. Campos X. 6. Carrillo N. 22. Gonzalez Y. 8. Lopez R. 11. Guerrero A. 9. Ochoa M. 10. Sanchez K.
Substitutes
21. Berzal G. 13. Candal J. (G) 25. Embadje F. (G) 10. Godoy A. 7. Morchiladze T. 22. Munoz M. 23. Pascual H. 8. Perera A. 24. Perez S. 6. Presa K. 2. Sanchez Martinez A. N.
20. Barbosa J. 14. Dominguez D. 16. Estevez D. 7. Ferreiro M. 25. Fraga Mesia A. 19. Gil I. 3. Mardones A. 17. San Jose J. 26. Seoane R. (G) 28. Valeiro M. 12. Vergara D. 21. Vidal Maria I.
Coaches
Borja Fernandez
Pablo M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
27', Ulloa A. 🟨,
28', Fons F. 🟨,
38', Sanchez K. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Chiqui ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Gallar A. 🟨,
62', Gonzalez Y. ↓, San Jose J. ↑,
62', Fons F. ↓, Mardones A. ↑,
62', Carrillo N. ↓, Fraga Mesia A. ↑,
63', Gallar A. ↓, Presa K. ↑,
70', Palma A. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
71', Dauda M. ↓, Berzal G. ↑,
73', Teijo E. 🟨,
77', 2 - 0, Godoy A. ⚽, Presa K. (A),
79', Moreno P. 🟨,
81', Chiqui ↓, Perez S. ↑,
81', Ulloa A. ↓, Perera A. ↑,
84', Guerrero A. ↓, Ferreiro M. ↑,
84', Ochoa M. ↓, Dominguez D. ↑,
86', Haro P. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 0, Haro P. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 1st in the Promotion - LaLiga2 and 14th).
Lugo arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Performances by Deportivo B have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Lugo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Lugo for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Lugo in today's match, at odds of 1.75.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Lugo has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:0 (averaging 2.5:0 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lugo against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:0 goals (averaging 2.5:0 per game).
Spain
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Martinez M. (C) 
Lucero R. 
Palma A. 
Dauda M. 
Embadje F. (G) 
Morchiladze T. 
Sanchez Martinez A. N. 
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