Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday


	Lugo		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.60	3.75
	1.92	3.4	3.55
	1.83	3.4	3.87
	1.81	3.6	3.91
	1.74	3.4	3.9
	1.8	3.6	4.12	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.89)	3.5 ↓ (3.67)	3.81 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo
50.2%

Draw
25.9%

Ourense CF
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Lugo - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Lugo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lugo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lugo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Ourense CF - the odds 3.67 are the expected chance of winning is 25.37%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Bergantiños - Lugo	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Lugo - Deportivo A Coruña B	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Lugo	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Lugo - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.05.26	Lugo - Arenteiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLTT
- Ourense CF
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Pontevedra - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.05.26	Ourense CF - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Talavera de la Reina - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Ourense CF - Celta de Vigo B	2:4 ✺
03.05.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Ourense CF	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.04.26	Ourense CF - Lugo	4:2
21.12.25	Lugo - Ourense CF	2:1
29.03.25	Lugo - Ourense CF	0:2
11.01.25	Ourense CF - Lugo	2:1
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Ourense CF - Lugo	0:3

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