Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 30

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Unionistas de Salamanca		SD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.75
	1.52	3.4	6
	1.55	3.6	6.5
	1.58	3.78	6
	1.59	3.78	5.91
	1.56	3.62	6.18
	1.53	3.55	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.79)	3.6 ↑ (3.1)	6.05 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas de Salamanca
59.3%

Draw
25.5%

SD Logroñés
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

28.9%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

25.4%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unionistas de Salamanca's performance.

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SD Logroñés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unionistas de Salamanca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SD Logroñés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unionistas de Salamanca - SD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez I. (G) 22. Gimenez C. 4. Mayor R. 5. Ruiz E. 3. Rojo J. 16. Gomez A. 6. Villar J. 17. Rastrojo J. 7. Losada M. 21. Teijeira A. 19. Etxaniz J.	13. Marti O. (G) 4. Murua J. 5. Aurtenetxe J. 16. Ezkurdia I. 2. Trespalacios A. 8. Castellano J. 21. Salado A. 14. Cova A. 10. Ferni 22. Garrido D. 17. Escobar J.
Substitutes
2. Camus S. 24. de Bustos H. 11. Gomez A. 8. Hector 15. Jimenez E. 25. Lopez P. 10. Nieto D. 26. Ortega H. (G) 14. Planas A. 23. Serrano J. 9. Slavy 20. Tur J. A.	19. Conejero M. 6. Elosegi G. 7. Fernandez O. 1. Iruarrizaga A. (G) 27. Jaraiz A. 9. Luzzi Rangel F. R. 18. Manny 23. Miceli A. 20. Sabater D. 11. Schmerbock M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Ezkurdia I. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
60', Garrido D. ↓, Manny ↑,
60', Escobar J. ↓, Jaraiz A. ↑,
62', Rastrojo J. ↓, Planas A. ↑,
64', Mayor R. 🟨,
68', Losada M. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
73', Aurtenetxe J. 🟨,
73', Ferni ↓, Sabater D. ↑,
73', Castellano J. ↓, Miceli A. ↑,
80', Teijeira A. ↓, Jimenez E. ↑,
80', Rojo J. ↓, Serrano J. ↑,
80', Villar J. ↓, Slavy ↑,
83', Trespalacios A. 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Slavy (Pen),
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Unionistas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SD Logroñés is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Unionistas is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Unionistas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Unionistas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.03.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Osasuna B	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Lugo - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Celta de Vigo B	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Tarazona - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLTLT
- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.03.24	SD Logroñés - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Sestao - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	SD Logroñés - Teruel	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Real Sociedad B - SD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	SD Logroñés - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.10.23	SD Logroñés - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1
29.01.22	SD Logroñés - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0
23.10.21	Unionistas de Salamanca - SD Logroñés	3:3

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