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Current Win Probability
Lugo 47.5%
Draw 31.7%
Unionistas de Salamanca 20.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.5%
27.5%
14%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.9%
26%
13.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugo's form might have worsened.
Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unionistas de Salamanca's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unionistas de Salamanca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lugo - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martinez M. (G) 10. Alba T. 8. Balboa A. 3. Garriz I. 24. Gaya J. 7. Gonzalez J. 16. Jose Amo 6. Nicholas N. 11. Pastrana V. 14. Presa K. (C) 21. Teofilovic O.
13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G) 24. Abde 5. Farru 11. Gomez A. (C) 3. Gorjon A. 6. Juanje 8. Lopez J. 21. Marco P. 17. Mounir 2. Olmedo V. 23. Pinan A.
Substitutes
17. Caballo D. 9. Celorio N. 33. Costa G. 5. Gallar Alex 29. Garcia H. 23. Junior L. 18. Roson D. 22. Samanes S. 4. Trigueros P.
9. Alex Pachon . Arvelo A. 10. de la Nava C. . Hiobi H. 22. Lendinez J. 1. Marino U. (G) 4. Mayor R. 16. Murria V. 14. Roldan L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Gomez A. (Penalty Awarded),
19', Balboa A. 🟨,
29', Mounir 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Marco P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gaya J. ↓, Gallar A. ↑,
46', Balboa A. ↓, Caballo D. ↑,
46', Alba T. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
59', Abde ↓, Murria V. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Teofilovic O. ⚽,
63', Pastrana V. ↓, Samanes S. ↑,
65', Gorjon A. 🟨,
70', Nicholas N. ↓, Celorio N. ↑,
72', Marco P. ↓, de la Nava C. ↑,
83', Juanje ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
83', Lopez J. ↓, Lendinez J. ↑,
86', Suarez Coronas Lastra M. 🟨,
89', Gallar A. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Errahaly M. ⚽,
90+9', Teofilovic O. 🟥,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 15).
Lugo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Unionistas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Unionistas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Lugo is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Lugo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Spain
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Martinez M. (G) 
Balboa A. 
Nicholas N. 
Teofilovic O. 
Abde 
Mounir 
Costa G. 
Junior L. 
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