Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Fifth stage - Final

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Mohammed Bin Zayed Stadium (Abu Dhabi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Hong-kong	RTHK TV 32
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Iraq	Al Iraqiya Sports, Al Rabiaa Sport
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, Dubai Sports 1, Sharjah Sports
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
World	Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Sport 24 Extra


	United Arab Emirates		Iraq

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.7	3.9	Watch
	2.28	2.68	3.7
	2.42	2.73	3.97
	2.05	2.89	4.48	Watch
	2.33	2.76	4.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.11)	2.75 ↓ (3.03)	4.05 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United Arab Emirates
41.7%

Draw
34.7%

Iraq
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

31.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United Arab Emirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Iraq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.7%	20%	3.3%

United Arab Emirates - Iraq Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. UAE will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Iraq will win (votes: 1 - 3.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for UAE: 61.6% – 91.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. UAE (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Eisa K. (C) Al Ain 16. Meloni M. Al Sharjah 3. Pimenta Peres Lopes L. Al Wahda 5. Zouhir A. Al Wahda 2. Amaral R. Al Wahda 20. Luan Pereira Al Sharjah 15. Nader Y. Al Ain 6. Ramadan A. Al Jazira 23. Adil S. Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 14. Gimenez N. Al Wasl 9. Suhail H. Al Sharjah	12. Hachim J. (C) Al Zawraa 3. Ali H. Pogon Szczecin 5. Hashem A. Al Zawraa 4. Tahseen Z. Pakhtakor 23. Doski M. Plzen 8. Sher A. Sarpsborg 08 17. Jasim A. Al Najma 16. Al Ammari A. Cracovia 21. Farji M. Stromsgodset 9. Al Hamadi A. Luton 10. Meme Dibba Al Fujairah
Substitutes
8. Akonnor R. Al Jazira 1. Al Hosani A. (G) Al Sharjah 22. Al Meqebaali H. (G) Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 12. Alvarez G. Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 21. Bruno Al Jazira 11. Caio Canedo Al Wahda 10. Caio Lucas Al Sharjah 19. Khaled Ebraheim Al Sharjah 4. Kouadio K. Al Ain 13. Rabii M. Al Jazira 18. Rashid M. Al Sharjah 7. Saleh A. Al Wasl	11. Abdulkareem H. Al Zawraa 13. Ali H. Al Shorta 22. Basil A. (G) Al Shorta 18. Hussein A. Al-Karma 14. Iqbal Z. Utrecht 7. Karim S. Zakho 20. Rashid O. Zakho 2. Saadoon M. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1. Talib F. (G) Al Talaba 15. Yahya A. Al Shorta 19. Yakob K. Aarhus 6. Younis M. Al Shorta
Coaches
Olaroiu C.	Arnold G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Al Hamadi A. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Luan Pereira ⚽, Ramadan A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Al Hamadi A. ↓, Hussein A. ↑,
46', Suhail H. ↓, Caio Lucas ↑,
64', Luan Pereira ↓, Saleh A. ↑,
64', Ramadan A. ↓, Bruno ↑,
71', Sher A. 🟨,
72', Jasim A. ↓, Abdulkareem H. ↑,
79', Meme ↓, Karim S. ↑,
79', Sher A. ↓, Iqbal Z. ↑,
85', Meloni M. ↓, Rabii M. ↑,
89', Adil S. ↓, Caio Canedo ↑,
90+4', Farji M. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UAE won 1.

In this match, UAE is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, UAE won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- United Arab Emirates
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	Qatar - United Arab Emirates	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	United Arab Emirates - Oman	2:1 ✺
Friendly
08.09.25	United Arab Emirates - Bahrain	1:0 ✺
04.09.25	United Arab Emirates - Syria	3:1 ✺
31.07.25	Lecce - United Arab Emirates	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWWW
- Iraq
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	Saudi Arabia - Iraq	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Iraq - Indonesia	1:0 ✺
Kings Cup Thailand
07.09.25	Thailand - Iraq	0:1 ✺
04.09.25	Iraq - Hong Kong	2:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Jordan - Iraq	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
24.03.22	Iraq - United Arab Emirates	1:0
12.10.21	United Arab Emirates - Iraq	2:2
Friendly
12.01.21	United Arab Emirates - Iraq	0:0
Gulf Cup of Nations
29.11.19	United Arab Emirates - Iraq	0:2
02.01.18	Iraq - United Arab Emirates	0:1 penalties
FIFA World Cup
05.09.17	Iraq - United Arab Emirates	1:0
15.11.16	United Arab Emirates - Iraq	2:0

United Arab Emirates - Iraq: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide