Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 24

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Sodertalje Fotbollsarena (Södertälje)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	United Nordic		Vasalund

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3.45	2.38
	2.72	3.61	2.38
	2.71	3.32	2.47	Watch
	2.74	3.45	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.52)	3.46 ↑ (3.42)	2.41 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United Nordic
34.5%

Draw
26.9%

Vasalund
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

27.1%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

26.2%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United Nordic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Vasalund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United Nordic than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasalund than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

United Nordic - Vasalund Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Vasalund (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasalund (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melkemichel A. (G) 6. Aphrem G. 2. Behnan M. 7. Eminovic A. 3. Fazal M. 77. Gursac J. (C) 20. Harabi A. 10. Mehmeti L. 14. Miljanovic D. 9. Shhab S. 21. Swedi E.	25. Graasvoll T. (G) 3. Bjorklund K. 7. Duranic A. 12. Ersoy G. 21. Jajic D. 11. Karlberg D. (C) 6. Maripuu N. 10. Nikolic M. 13. Ozgun M. 23. Sundgren R. 2. Torppa E.
Substitutes
19. Berggren L. 16. Daneyl N. 25. Nesvik-Andersson L. 44. Nnamani S. 11. Rajalakso S. 30. Stahl P. (G) 24. Ulloa Niinivirta L.	8. Amos P. 18. Azizovic A. 42. Kalabane A. 30. Lysgard I. (G) 5. Norberg C. 9. Segura Bonilla J. 4. Stojanovic Fredin O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Ozgun M. 🟨,
44', Karlberg D. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Ozgun M. ↓, Amos P. ↑,
46', Jajic D. ↓, Norberg C. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Eminovic A. ⚽,
61', 2 - 0, Eminovic A. ⚽,
62', Karlberg D. ↓, Segura Bonilla J. ↑,
62', Sundgren R. ↓, Stojanovic Fredin O. ↑,
63', 🟨,
65', 3 - 0, Mehmeti L. ⚽,
73', Torppa E. ↓, Azizovic A. ↑,
76', Shhab S. ↓, Nnamani S. ↑,
76', Mehmeti L. ↓, Ulloa Niinivirta L. ↑,
85', Norberg C. 🟨,
87', Eminovic A. ↓, Daneyl N. ↑,
87', Fazal M. ↓, Nesvik-Andersson L. ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Daneyl N. ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 1, Segura Bonilla J. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan (Promotion: ) and 3).

United Nordic is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vasalund is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, United Nordic won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, United Nordic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- United Nordic IK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
20.09.25	Enköping - United Nordic	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	United Nordic - Hammarby TFF	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Stockholm Internazionale - United Nordic	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Örebro Syrianska - United Nordic	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	United Nordic - Stocksund	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTWWW
- Vasalunds IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
20.09.25	Örebro Syrianska - Vasalund	0:5 ✺
14.09.25	Vasalund - Assyriska Föreningen	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Team TG - Vasalund	0:5 ✺
31.08.25	Vasalund - Enköping	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Karlstad - Vasalund	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
10.05.25	Vasalund - United Nordic	3:1
09.11.24	United Nordic - Vasalund	1:4
02.06.24	Vasalund - United Nordic	1:2
30.09.23	United Nordic - Vasalund	1:0
17.05.23	Vasalund - United Nordic	0:1

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