Match Info

Superettan - Round 10

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Finnvedsvallen (Varnamo)

Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Värnamo		United Nordic

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.35	3.6	2.72
	2.38	3.72	2.89
	2.29	3.76	2.77	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.63
	2.3	3.56	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.05)	3.57 ↓ (3.58)	2.75 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
40.3%

Draw
26%

United Nordic
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25.9%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

26.3%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

United Nordic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Värnamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United Nordic than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for United Nordic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Värnamo - United Nordic Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Värnamo will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). United Nordic will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keto H. (G) 2. Rapp J. 6. Andersson H. 5. Bergqvist D. 7. Johansson C. 21. Abdulrazak I. 23. Robertsson L. 16. Kujundzic A. 3. Bjornstrom A. 14. Antonsson M. (C) 9. Meriluoto K.	30. Eskelinen W. (G) 16. Daneyl N. 77. Gursac J. (C) 2. Behnan M. 3. Fazal M. 10. Mehmeti L. 8. Gronborg T. 5. Andersson E. 20. Harabi A. 17. Jawla K. 7. Eminovic A.
Substitutes
17. Bozicevic F. 15. Coulibaly S. 28. Diallo M. C. 19. Freij E. 13. Jansson S. 24. Kamara M. 4. Ohlsson S. 39. Sapielak B. (G) 34. Zulovic B.	4. Abadid L. 74. Aphrem C. 6. Aphrem G. 11. Fisic A. 1. Ghazala F. S. Y. (G) 9. Shhab S. 22. Soderberg N. 27. Tokpah D.
Coaches
Tufegdzic S.	Younan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Robertsson L. ↓, Jansson S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Mehmeti L. ⚽, Harabi A. (A),
63', Fazal M. 🟨,
68', Abdulrazak I. ↓, Bozicevic F. ↑,
68', Rapp J. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
76', Mehmeti L. ↓, Aphrem C. ↑,
76', Eminovic A. ↓, Soderberg N. ↑,
77', Johansson C. ↓, Zulovic B. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Jawla K. ⚽, Andersson E. (A),
84', Jawla K. ↓, Shhab S. ↑,
89', Aphrem C. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: )).

Värnamo has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

United Nordic is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Nordic United	25	9	9	7	38:40	-2	36
11	Varnamo	25	8	5	12	33:45	-12	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
23.05.26	Falkenberg - Värnamo	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Värnamo - Norrby	2:2 ✺
12.05.26	Värnamo - Örebro	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Varbergs BoIS - Värnamo	3:2 ✺
03.05.26	Östersund - Värnamo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- United Nordic IK
Swedish Superettan
23.05.26	United Nordic - Brage	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	United Nordic - Falkenberg	1:4 ✺
13.05.26	Norrköping - United Nordic	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	United Nordic - Öster	4:2 ✺
02.05.26	Ljungskile - United Nordic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WLTWW

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