Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 7

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Redcar Athletic		United of Manchester

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.60	4.20
	1.58	3.75	4.5
	1.53	4.17	5.04
	1.74	3.94	4.12	Watch
	1.51	4.1	4.95
	1.49	4.65	5.42
	1.64	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.08)	4 ↑ (3.79)	4.68 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Redcar Athletic
57.5%

Draw
22.9%

United of Manchester
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

24.5%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

24.1%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Redcar Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Redcar Athletic's performance.

United of Manchester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and United of Manchester might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Redcar Athletic than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Redcar Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that United of Manchester could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Redcar Athletic - United of Manchester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Boyes A. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Pettifer A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
76', 2 - 1, Ardelean A. ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, Le Fondre A. ⚽,
89', 3 - 2, Boyes A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Redcar is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

United of Manchester has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Redcar is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Redcar will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Redcar Athletic: 17.69%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Redcar Athletic	12	7	4	1	23:11	12	25
22	FC United	10	1	2	7	12:20	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Redcar Athletic
English NPL Premier Division
25.08.26	Redcar Athletic - Emley	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Warrington Rylands - Redcar Athletic	0:5 ✺
18.08.26	Redcar Athletic - Lancaster City	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Quorn - Redcar Athletic	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Workington - Redcar Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWWTW
- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
25.08.26	Bamber Bridge - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	United of Manchester - Workington	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Hyde United - United of Manchester	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	United of Manchester - Gainsborough Trinity	0:3 ✺
11.08.26	United of Manchester - Leek Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT

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