Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 42

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Hyde United		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.35	2.32
	2.66	3.63	2.18
	2.61	3.8	2.37	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.3
	2.69	3.51	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (3.09)	3.52 ↓ (3.63)	2.32 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hyde United
34.9%

Draw
25.9%

Gainsborough Trinity
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

25.1%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

23.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hyde United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hyde United's performance.

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gainsborough Trinity might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hyde United than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+4%)

Hyde United - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Redshaw J. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Kershaw B. ⚽,
32', 3 - 0, Kershaw B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 3 - 1, Beeden H. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hyde won 0.

Hyde is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gainsborough is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hyde won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:25. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hyde won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Gainsborough	10	5	1	4	20:14	6	16
13	Hyde	12	4	2	6	13:21	-8	14

Last Results with these Odds

Gainsborough Trinity - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.48%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hyde United
English NPL Premier Division
18.04.26	United of Manchester - Hyde United	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Whitby Town - Hyde United	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Hyde United - Ashton United	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Guiseley - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Hyde United - Stockton Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WLWTW
- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
18.04.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Prescot Cables	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Lancaster City - Gainsborough Trinity	3:0 ✺
06.04.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Guiseley	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Stockton Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Rylands	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
17.03.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Hyde United	2:0
08.02.25	Hyde United - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1
17.12.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Hyde United	2:1
13.04.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Hyde United	4:1
28.11.23	Hyde United - Gainsborough Trinity	2:2
03.12.22	Hyde United - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0
16.08.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Hyde United	1:1

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