The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Universidad Central 51.3%
Draw 27.9%
Estudiantes de Mérida 20.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.1%
21.9%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.5%
21.1%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Central's form might have worsened.
Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Universidad Central - Estudiantes de Mérida Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morales L. (G) 28. Ruiz M. 5. Martinez L. (C) 4. Velasquez W. 27. Carrillo D. 16. De Sousa D. 6. Sole F. 30. Gonzalez A. 7. Cuesta J. 10. Sosa S. 11. Bolivar J.
12. Roberts E. (G) 3. Marquez J. 2. Gutierez J. 4. Rodriguez C. 20. Montilla Maldonado J. A. 16. Lobo J. 5. Ramirez Holguin W. S. 15. Rivas C. (C) 14. Ivey R. 9. Quejada K. 17. Magallan C.
Substitutes
57. Cermeno C. 24. Cumana Y. 15. Davis R. 23. Hernandez Y. 14. Mendoza K. 9. Murillo Y. 21. Ortiz C. 17. Rodriguez V. 18. Sarli R. 13. Schiavone G. (G) 2. Silva K. 19. Simarra A.
35. Ajam Elias 41. Albarran D. 7. Albarran E. 26. Azocar J. 44. Caicedo L. 21. Flores A. 31. Montes G. 28. Paez M. 10. Pena A. 18. Rivera B.
Coaches
Sasso D.
Ortiz J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
29', Carrillo D. 🟨,
33', Ivey R. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Sosa S. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Morales L. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Quejada K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Gonzalez A. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
65', De Sousa D. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
66', Carrillo D. ↓, Cumana Y. ↑,
68', Magallan C. ↓, Azocar J. ↑,
84', Sosa S. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
85', Montilla Maldonado J. A. ↓, Rivera B. ↑,
85', Rivas C. ↓, Albarran E. ↑,
90+2', Lobo J. ↓, Caicedo L. ↑,
90+2', Sole F. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 3.
Universidad Central has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Estudiantes Mérida has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Universidad Central may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Universidad Central is a strong favorite.
We predict that Universidad Central will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Universidad Central won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
Watch
#ad
Morales L. (G) 
Ruiz M. 
Gonzalez A. 
Cuesta J. 
Caicedo L. 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
