The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caracas 31.5%
Draw 30.2%
Universidad Central 38.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
29%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Caracas - Universidad Central Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Benitez F. (G) 2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 19. Mago L. 30. Herrera A. 15. Larotonda C. 8. Gudino I. 7. Robert Hernandez 22. Figueroa A. 10. Covea M. 17. Reinoso L.
13. Schiavone G. (G) 2. Silva K. (C) 3. Ramirez R. 19. Simarra A. 27. Carrillo D. 16. De Sousa D. 30. Gonzalez A. 6. Sole F. 7. Cuesta J. 10. Sosa S. 11. Bolivar J.
Substitutes
33. Correa W. 27. Gonzalez S. 36. Gudino D. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 11. Marquez M. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 3. Pagano L. 4. Quintero J. 29. Rondon J. 37. Vegas C. 12. Vegas J. (G) 5. Vegas M.
20. Berroteran Y. 57. Cermeno C. 15. Davis R. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 47. Granko A. 23. Hernandez Y. 14. Mendoza K. 9. Murillo Y. 17. Rodriguez V. 28. Ruiz M. 18. Sarli R. 4. Velasquez W.
Coaches
Aristeguieta F.
Sasso D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Sosa S. ⚽, Carrillo D. (A),
20', 1 - 1, Covea M. ⚽, Robert Hernandez (A),
38', 1 - 2, Bolivar J. ⚽,
45', Simarra A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Reinoso L. 🟨,
61', Ramirez R. 🟨,
65', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
67', Reinoso L. ↓, Rondon J. ↑,
72', Sosa S. 🟨,
72', De Sousa D. ↓, Granko A. ↑,
72', Sole F. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
76', Larotonda C. ↓, Maestre Nino L. A. ↑,
76', Covea M. ↓, Marquez M. ↑,
80', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
80', Bolivar J. ↓, Murillo Y. ↑,
85', Herrera A. ↓, Gudino D. ↑,
85', Robert Hernandez ↓, Vegas C. ↑,
89', Sosa S. ↓, Hernandez Y. ↑,
90+2', Mago L. 🟨,
90+3', Covea M. 🟨,
90+6', Silva K. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 2.
Universidad Central is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Universidad Central
11
4
3
4
12:11
1
15
10
Caracas
11
2
5
4
9:14
-5
11
Last Results with these Odds
Universidad Central - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.75%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.