The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad Central 63.6%
Draw 21.5%
Rayo Zuliano 14.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.2%
23.2%
17.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
22.2%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Rayo Zuliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Central that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Zuliano than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Universidad Central - Rayo Zuliano Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Universidad Central will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Romo R. (G) 28. Ruiz M. 2. Silva K. (C) 25. Hernandez Ochoa J. S. 24. Cumana Y. 30. Gonzalez A. 5. Sole F. 11. Lugo W. 10. Sosa S. 42. Araujo J. 8. Zapata J.
12. Corredor L. (G) 36. Jimenez A. 22. Orejuela S. 20. Chacon P. 6. Kinsler A. 66. Copete D. 26. Gomez J. 11. Romero C. 10. Arias J. 23. Ochoa J. (C) 18. Maldonado C.
Substitutes
9. Alegria J. 33. Colmenares C. 44. Colmenarez J. 16. De Sousa D. 34. Guzman K. 7. Mosquera E. 6. Mottes G. 23. Ochoa D. (G) 3. Pabon Delgao S. J. 13. Peraza E. 21. Rodriguez V. 18. Sarli R.
99. Barrios J. 2. Chavez F. 70. Colina Bracho J. A. 31. Dugarte L. 79. Garces S. 25. Julio J. 3. Marquez J. 19. Martinez G. 32. Moran J. 30. Ramirez R. (G) 24. Sanchez J. 15. Valencia D.
Coaches
Sasso D.
Garcia J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Kinsler A. ⚽, Chacon P. (A),
25', Jimenez A. 🟨,
30', Arias J. 🟨,
39', Jimenez A. 🟨,
42', Maldonado C. ↓, Julio J. ↑,
45+2', Cumana Y. 🟨,
45+4', Kinsler A. 🟨,
45+5', Romero C. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Sosa S. ⚽, Sole F. (A),
58', Araujo J. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
58', Lugo W. ↓, Alegria J. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Sosa S. ⚽, Alegria J. (A),
76', Romero C. ↓, Dugarte L. ↑,
80', Sosa S. ↓, De Sousa D. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Alegria J. ⚽, Zapata J. (A),
84', Ochoa J. ↓, Barrios J. ↑,
84', Arias J. ↓, Colina Bracho J. A. ↑,
84', Gomez J. ↓, Chavez F. ↑,
88', Zapata J. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
88', Cumana Y. ↓, Peraza E. ↑,
90', Rodriguez V. 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 1, Alegria J. ⚽, Sole F. (A),
90+3', Julio J. 🟨,
90+3', Mosquera E. 🟨,
90+8', Chavez F. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 4.
Universidad Central is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Rayo Zuliano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Universidad Central may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Universidad Central is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Universidad Central won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:3. (average 2.1:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Universidad Central won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).
Watch
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Romo R. (G) 
Gonzalez A. 
Sole F. 
Zapata J. 
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