Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio San Martin de Porres (Lima)


	Universidad San Martín		Juan Aurich

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.2	5
	1.52	4.62	4.32
	1.6	3.75	4.5
	1.52	4.1	5.45	Watch
	1.55	3.65	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.44)	4.06 ↑ (3.8)	4.83 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad San Martín
59%

Draw
22.3%

Juan Aurich
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

23.3%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

21.6%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad San Martín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Juan Aurich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad San Martín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Aurich than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Universidad San Martín - Juan Aurich Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Uni San Martín will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Juan Aurich will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ynamine P. (G) 7. Bazan H. 36. Castillo Cruz P. H. 19. Chumpitaz Blas I. 25. Delgado G. 29. Ismodes D. 4. Noriega E. 20. Reyes D. 3. Roque Paco G. A. 30. Soto Ramirez J. V. A. 27. Viza C.	1. Quiroz R. (G) 25. Alfani R. 11. Almircar Rai C. C. 6. Carrillo L. 7. Chavez N. 27. Lopez A. 10. Lugo K. 20. Perez F. 33. Rodriguez Carreno D. A. 14. Salas V. 21. Salcedo J.
Substitutes
10. Acuy L. 80. Alvarado E. 15. Melgar F. 8. Molina J. 37. Ruiz H. 9. Salem J. 12. Sotelo S. (G)	22. Cieza C. 29. Guevara A. 26. Guidino Otero J. A. 24. Larrea F. (G) 19. Malpartida M. 13. Reyes O. 30. Rodriguez C.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad San Martín won 4.

Universidad San Martín is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Juan Aurich is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Universidad San Martín is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Universidad San Martín to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Universidad San Martín won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad San Martín won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 2
02.08.23	Universidad San Martín - Pirata	4:1 ✺
29.07.23	Unión Huaral - Universidad San Martín	1:1 ✺
25.07.23	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Belén	1:0 ✺
18.07.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Universidad San Martín	2:2 ✺
12.07.23	Universidad San Martín - Los Chankas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTWTW
- Juan Aurich
Peruvian Liga 2
02.08.23	Juan Aurich - Deportivo Coopsol	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Juan Aurich - Pirata	1:1 ✺
25.07.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Juan Aurich	3:0 ✺
16.07.23	Juan Aurich - Unión Huaral	0:0 ✺
09.07.23	Santos - Juan Aurich	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
17.05.23	Juan Aurich - Universidad San Martín	0:2
Peruvian Copa Bicentenario
23.06.19	Juan Aurich - Universidad San Martín	0:2
Peruvian Liga 1
24.10.17	Juan Aurich - Universidad San Martín	0:0
14.07.17	Universidad San Martín - Juan Aurich	4:1
30.07.16	Juan Aurich - Universidad San Martín	1:3
22.04.16	Universidad San Martín - Juan Aurich	0:1
21.09.15	Universidad San Martín - Juan Aurich	3:1

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