Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 25 July 2023, Tuesday


	Deportivo Llacuabamba		Juan Aurich

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.7	5
	1.53	3.73	5.42
	1.52	3.6	5.8
	1.5	3.9	6.15	Watch
	1.47	3.75	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)	3.74 ↓ (3.86)	5.63 ↓ (6.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Llacuabamba
59.8%

Draw
24.2%

Juan Aurich
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

23.5%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

22.5%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Llacuabamba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Juan Aurich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Llacuabamba than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Llacuabamba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Aurich than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Deportivo Llacuabamba - Juan Aurich Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Llacuabamba will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Juan Aurich will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Llacuabamba: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Rebora E. (G) 22. Acevedo G. 27. Campos A. 20. Curiel M. 25. de la Haza P. 14. Gallardo J. 33. Garcia J. 23. Jimenez C. 11. Montero J. 19. Quintero J. 13. Vasquez J.	1. Quiroz R. (G) 25. Alfani R. 6. Carrillo L. 7. Chavez N. 29. Guevara A. 27. Lopez A. 10. Lugo K. 19. Malpartida M. 2. Pacheco O. 33. Rodriguez Carreno D. A. 14. Salas V.
Substitutes
10. Garcia L. 26. Gonzales D. 6. Hidalgo A. 18. Palomino M. 98. Ratto P. 1. Rojas S. (G) 5. Vega J.	11. Almircar Rai C. C. 23. Diaz L. 26. Guidino Otero J. A. 5. Peralta M. 13. Reyes O. 9. Rivas C. 31. Stein A. (G)

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Juan Aurich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo Llacuabamba won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo Llacuabamba won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peruvian Liga 2
18.07.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Santos	1:1 ✺
12.07.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Deportivo Llacuabamba	4:0 ✺
04.07.23	Ayacucho - Deportivo Llacuabamba	1:3 ✺
28.06.23	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Carlos Stein	4:3 ✺
19.06.23	Universidad San Martín - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLWWT
- Juan Aurich
Peruvian Liga 2
16.07.23	Juan Aurich - Unión Huaral	0:0 ✺
09.07.23	Santos - Juan Aurich	1:0 ✺
02.07.23	Comerciantes Belén - Juan Aurich	1:0 ✺
28.06.23	Juan Aurich - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	0:0 ✺
24.06.23	Unión Huaral - Juan Aurich	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
02.05.23	Juan Aurich - Deportivo Llacuabamba	1:0
10.07.22	Juan Aurich - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:2
10.04.22	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Juan Aurich	2:1
26.08.21	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Juan Aurich	2:1
27.06.21	Juan Aurich - Deportivo Llacuabamba	0:0

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