Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 17

Date: 29 July 2023, Saturday


	Unión Huaral		Universidad San Martín

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.55
	2.4	2.9	2.8
	2.52	3.02	2.62
	2.54	3.1	2.71
	2.41	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.34)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)	2.66 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Huaral
36.6%

Draw
29.5%

Universidad San Martín
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

29.1%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Huaral has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Universidad San Martín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Huaral than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Unión Huaral - Universidad San Martín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Romero N. (G) 34. Ardiles R. (C) 29. Caraza K. 3. Carnelos J. 7. Chinga R. 20. Gutierrez J. 21. Lopez M. 30. Marina J. 25. Serrano B. 5. Tuesta J. 11. Ubierna B.	22. Ynamine P. (C) 7. Bazan H. 36. Castillo Cruz P. H. 19. Chumpitaz Blas I. 25. Delgado G. 29. Ismodes D. 4. Noriega E. 20. Reyes D. 3. Roque Paco G. A. 30. Soto Ramirez J. V. A. 27. Viza C.
Substitutes
8. Aragon J. 19. Carrillo A. 27. Cruz Llalle A. F. 17. Romani A. 32. Silva L. (G) 23. Zamalloa F.	10. Acuy L. 18. Arteaga A. 5. Cano J. 26. Laines Garcia S. J. 15. Melgar F. 8. Molina J. 12. Sotelo S. (G)

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 8).

Unión Huaral is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Universidad San Martín is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Unión Huaral won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Huaral
Peruvian Liga 2
24.07.23	Pirata - Unión Huaral	1:0 ✺
16.07.23	Juan Aurich - Unión Huaral	0:0 ✺
09.07.23	Unión Huaral - Comerciantes Belén	1:1 ✺
03.07.23	Unión Huaral - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:2 ✺
27.06.23	Los Chankas - Unión Huaral	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTLL
- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 2
25.07.23	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Belén	1:0 ✺
18.07.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Universidad San Martín	2:2 ✺
12.07.23	Universidad San Martín - Los Chankas	3:2 ✺
04.07.23	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Unidos	0:1 ✺
28.06.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Universidad San Martín	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
09.05.23	Universidad San Martín - Unión Huaral	0:1

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