Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 25

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Diaz C. (Chi)


	Universidad de Concepción		Deportes Limache

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.60	2.50	Watch
	2.60	3.50	2.45
	2.63	3.55	2.43	Watch
	2.64	3.77	2.61
	2.65	3.6	2.45	Watch
	2.50	3.70	2.55
	2.70	3.70	2.50	Watch
	2.50	3.50	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.68)	3.62 ↑ (3.58)	2.5 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Concepción
36.4%

Draw
26%

Deportes Limache
37.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

26.1%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

26.1%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Limache Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Limache will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Broun J. (G) 32. Saez B. 17. Gonzalez M. 3. Barbieri M. 11. Diaz A. 16. Ogaz B. 25. Salgado H. 8. Mater F. 10. Fuentealba J. 7. Gonzalez I. 18. Waterman C. (C)	23. Cesar (G) 24. Parot A. (C) 5. Alfonzo A. 2. Aguirre A. 33. Escobar D. 25. Llanten M. 16. Jean David 6. Fuentes C. 11. Rojas J. 19. Castro D. 9. Sosa G.
Substitutes
21. Espejo J. 22. Funes Mori R. 34. Herrera F. 12. Matamala D. (G) 24. Onate V. 2. Paez E. 26. Roco T. 20. Rojas L. 23. Romero P.	15. Alvarez V. 26. Arturia M. 27. Galletto T. 17. Gonzalez C. (G) 14. Martinez H. 3. Molina B. 7. Morales C. 10. Valencia Rossel L.
Coaches
Munoz C.	Rivero V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Aguirre A. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Castro D. (Penalty Awarded),
31', Castro D. 🟨,
35', Saez B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Saez B. ↓, Espejo J. ↑,
66', Gonzalez I. ↓, Rojas L. ↑,
66', Diaz A. ↓, Romero P. ↑,
67', Salgado H. 🟨,
71', Escobar D. ↓, Galletto T. ↑,
71', Castro D. ↓, Valencia Rossel L. ↑,
76', Sosa G. ↓, Arturia M. ↑,
76', Mater F. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
76', Salgado H. ↓, Roco T. ↑,
90+3', Llanten M. ↓, Morales C. ↑,

Preview

Uni de Concepción is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Limache have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Limache may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Limache has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Uni de Concepción has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Uni de Concepción against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Limache	25	11	4	10	46:37	9	37
15	U. De Concepcion	25	6	5	14	18:41	-23	23

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes Limache - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 39.07%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
10.10.26	Cobresal - Universidad de Concepción	1:1 ✺
02.10.26	Universidad de Concepción - Huachipato	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Palestino - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Coquimbo Unido - Universidad de Concepción	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Universidad de Concepción - Universidad de Chile	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLLLW
- Deportes Limache
Chilean Primera Division
11.10.26	Deportes Limache - Palestino	2:2 ✺
14.09.26	Unión La Calera - Deportes Limache	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Deportes Limache - Cobresal	3:0 ✺
02.09.26	Deportes Limache - Ñublense	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Deportes Limache - Everton de Viña	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
17.04.26	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Concepción	3:0
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
05.08.24	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Limache	2:0
24.03.24	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Concepción	0:1

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