Match Info

CHILE: Primera B - Round 20

Date: 5 August 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports, TNT Sports Go


	Universidad de Concepción		Deportes Limache

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.85
	2.35	3.1	3
	2.31	3.1	3.09
	2.38	3.15	3.06	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.3	3.18	3.05	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.45)	3.12 ↓ (3.35)	2.99 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Concepción
39.8%

Draw
29.5%

Deportes Limache
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

27.9%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

28.3%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Deportes Limache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Limache Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matamala D. (G) 3. Garrido N. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 15. Sanhueza H. 19. Flores E. 25. Rodriguez C. 8. Fuentealba J. 10. Aleman B. 21. Olmedo L. 22. Ferreyra L. 9. Sanchez J.	25. Alvarez M. (G) 5. Silva F. 4. Escobar Acuna R. A. 24. Morales C. 29. Pinto G. 10. Cesped A. 16. Rodriguez A. 28. Riquelme A. 7. Juarez F. 9. Da Silva N. 23. Tarifeno R.
Substitutes
12. Araya J. (G) 30. Cani S. 18. Cid W. 32. Gutierrez C. 7. Herrera I. 36. Lincopan N. 2. Saldias J.	1. Borquez M. (G) 6. Brito R. 8. Cabrera Figueroa L. 19. Castro D. 17. Flores F. 20. Jara A. 22. Provoste B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Morales C. 🟨,
17', Flores E. 🟨,
36', Escobar Acuna R. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Gonzalez O. ⚽,
70', 2 - 0, Sanchez J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Universidad de Concepción is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Limache is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Universidad de Concepción won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.07.24	Deportes Magallanes - Universidad de Concepción	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Antofagasta	2:2 ✺
20.07.24	San Marcos de Arica - Universidad de Concepción	1:1 ✺
14.07.24	Universidad de Concepción - San Luis de Quillota	1:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
03.07.24	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Linares	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTTWT
- Deportes Limache
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
30.07.24	Deportes Limache - San Luis de Quillota	2:1 ✺
26.07.24	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Limache	2:0 ✺
19.07.24	Deportes Limache - Deportes Temuco	0:1 ✺
14.07.24	Santiago Morning - Deportes Limache	1:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
17.06.24	Barnechea - Deportes Limache	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
24.03.24	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Concepción	0:1

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