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Current Win Probability
Universidad de Concepción 19.4%
Draw 25%
Universidad de Chile 55.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.1%
27.3%
49.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.6%
26.7%
50.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Universidad de Chile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad de Chile's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Chile than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
22.2%
66.7%
Universidad de Concepción - Universidad de Chile Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Universidad de Chile will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Universidad de Chile: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Universidad de Chile (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Broun J. (G) 17. Gonzalez M. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 3. Barbieri M. 5. Retamal D. 20. Rojas L. 16. Ogaz B. 10. Fuentealba J. 11. Diaz A. 22. Funes Mori R. 18. Waterman C.
25. Castellon G. (G) 5. Ramirez N. 22. Zaldivia M. 31. Tamayo B. 14. Morales M. 20. Aranguiz C. (C) 29. Barrera L. 7. Guerrero Pena M. G. 17. Hormazabal F. 28. Arce A. 11. Eduardo Vargas
Substitutes
21. Espejo J. 7. Gonzalez I. 19. Mesias C. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 14. Parra P. 32. Saez B. 25. Salgado H. 13. Sanhueza J. (G) 6. Ubal B.
19. Altamirano J. 21. Diaz M. 6. Fernandez N. 18. Lucero J. 15. Reinhart T. 32. Reyna G. 26. Riquelme M. 1. Toselli C. (G) 23. Vasquez Gonzalez I. A.
Coaches
Munoz C.
Gago F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Fuentealba J. (Penalty Awarded),
8', Retamal D. 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Waterman C. ⚽, Funes Mori R. (A),
40', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Arce A. ↓, Altamirano J. ↑,
46', Barrera L. ↓, Reinhart T. ↑,
46', Tamayo B. ↓, Lucero J. ↑,
61', Aranguiz C. 🟨,
63', Ogaz B. 🟨,
63', Guerrero Pena M. G. ↓, Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. ↑,
68', Funes Mori R. ↓, Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. ↑,
74', Diaz A. ↓, Mesias C. ↑,
74', Gonzalez O. ↓, Ubal B. ↑,
74', Ramirez N. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
79', Barbieri M. ↓, Espejo J. ↑,
80', Rojas L. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Zaldivia M. ⚽,
90+2', Parra P. 🟨,
90+4', Broun J. 🟨,
90+4', Broun J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 3.
Uni de Concepción has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Universidad de Chile is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Universidad de Chile is considered a favorite.
We predict that Universidad de Chile will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
Outrights of Chilean Primera Division for now
U. De Chile: 9.15%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
U. De Chile
23
12
6
5
35:19
16
42
15
U. De Concepcion
24
6
5
13
18:40
-22
23
Last Results with these Odds
Universidad de Chile - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.63%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
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Broun J. (G) 
Gonzalez M. 
Funes Mori R. 
Waterman C. 
Tamayo B. 
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