Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 24

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Cobre de El Salvador (El Salvador) 🌤️ ...


	Cobresal		Universidad de Concepción

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.90	4.50	Watch
	1.68	3.90	4.40
	1.78	3.65	4.10	Watch
	1.73	4.08	4.80
	1.83	3.83	3.89	Watch
	1.68	4.00	4.75
	1.73	4.04	4.66	Watch
	1.67	3.75	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.14)	3.89 ↑ (3.53)	4.41 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobresal
54.7%

Draw
24.1%

Universidad de Concepción
21.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.4%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.2%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobresal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cobresal's performance.

Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Concepción might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cobresal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Concepción could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Cobresal - Universidad de Concepción Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cobresal will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Olguin M. (G) 23. Pacheco G. 20. Tiznado J. (C) 4. Sandoval R. 15. Castillo A. 17. Fuentes J. 38. Villagran 7. Yanis C. 39. Morales J. 11. Brea J. 37. Espinoza M.	1. Broun J. (G) 32. Saez B. 17. Gonzalez M. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 3. Barbieri M. 26. Roco T. 16. Ogaz B. 8. Mater F. 10. Fuentealba J. 18. Waterman C. (C) 25. Salgado H.
Substitutes
22. Astudillo A. 43. Campos V. 32. Frias F. 14. Huerta R. 8. Pino S. 12. Santander A. (G) 6. Valencia E. 13. Valenzuela B. 3. Villarroel B.	11. Diaz A. 21. Espejo J. 22. Funes Mori R. 7. Gonzalez I. 34. Herrera F. 2. Paez E. 20. Rojas L. 29. Sabando D. 13. Sanhueza J. (G)
Coaches
Huerta G.	Munoz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Fuentes J. 🟨,
45', Yanis C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Espinoza M. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
46', Roco T. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
54', Olguin M. ↓, Santander A. ↑,
62', Sandoval R. 🟥,
68', Morales J. ↓, Astudillo A. ↑,
76', Mater F. ↓, Rojas L. ↑,
77', Waterman C. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
79', Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
80', Ogaz B. 🟨,
88', 0 - 1, Rojas L. ⚽, Gonzalez I. (A),
90', Rojas L. 🟨,
90', Astudillo A. 🟨,
90+5', Salgado H. ↓, Sabando D. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Pacheco G. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobresal won 2.

In recent outings, Cobresal has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Uni de Concepción is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Uni de Concepción may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cobresal holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Cobresal has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:22 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cobresal against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 13:4 goals (averaging 1.4:0.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Cobresal	25	7	5	13	36:46	-10	26
15	U. De Concepcion	25	6	5	14	18:41	-23	23

Last Results with these Odds

Universidad de Concepción - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.92%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cobresal
Chilean Primera Division
12.09.26	Cobresal - Coquimbo Unido	3:2 ✺
07.09.26	Deportes Limache - Cobresal	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Cobresal - Palestino	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Deportes La Serena - Cobresal	3:3 ✺
16.08.26	Cobresal - Deportes Concepción	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWTL
- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
02.10.26	Universidad de Concepción - Huachipato	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Palestino - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Coquimbo Unido - Universidad de Concepción	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Universidad de Concepción - Universidad de Chile	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Everton de Viña - Universidad de Concepción	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Copa de la Liga
09.05.26	Cobresal - Universidad de Concepción	2:1
Chilean Primera Division
12.04.26	Universidad de Concepción - Cobresal	1:0
Chilean Copa de la Liga
26.03.26	Universidad de Concepción - Cobresal	2:1
Chilean Primera Division
08.12.20	Cobresal - Universidad de Concepción	3:1
05.03.20	Universidad de Concepción - Cobresal	2:2
14.04.19	Cobresal - Universidad de Concepción	1:0
08.04.17	Universidad de Concepción - Cobresal	4:0

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