The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad de Concepción 42.7%
Draw 31%
San Luis de Quillota 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56%
25.2%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.3%
24.6%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad de Concepción's form might have worsened.
San Luis de Quillota has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Luis de Quillota's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad de Concepción, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Luis de Quillota, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Universidad de Concepción - San Luis de Quillota Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Campestrini C. (G) 6. Cordero R. 10. Fuentealba J. 11. Gonzalez I. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 22. Lopez A. 14. Medina C. 7. Molina S. 16. Ogaz B. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 18. Ubal B.
1. Retamal D. (G) 27. Aguila Bastias Y. M. 21. Araya J. 9. Carreno M. 5. Coronel F. 7. Juarez F. 2. Navarrete J. 19. Novero G. 16. Rodriguez A. 3. Sarria G. 26. Suazo H. (C)
Substitutes
21. Benitez F. 24. Canessa O. 28. Herrera I. 3. Meza I. 20. Molina L. 29. Sabando D. 13. Sanhueza J. (G)
10. Cesped A. 39. Donoso M. 12. Garcia M. (G) 13. Munoz Alister N. 4. Osorio R. 11. Parada S. 15. Retamales J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
24', 1 - 0, Gonzalez I. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Araya J. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Juarez F. ⚽,
34', Coronel F. 🟨,
45+2', Sarria G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Molina S. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
65', Ogaz B. ↓, Herrera I. ↑,
77', Lopez A. ↓, Canessa O. ↑,
78', 🟨,
79', Gonzalez O. 🟥,
83', Fuentealba J. 🟨,
84', Gonzalez I. ↓, Meza I. ↑,
90+6', Suazo H. ↓, Donoso M. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Uni de Concepción won 3.
Uni de Concepción is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches San Luis is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Uni de Concepción have a series of guest games.
Uni de Concepción will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Uni de Concepción won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.1:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Uni de Concepción won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
Watch
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Campestrini C. (G) 
Cordero R. 
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