The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cobreloa 53.7%
Draw 26.9%
Universidad de Concepción 19.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
28.1%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
27.9%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cobreloa's performance.
Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad de Concepción might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cobreloa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad de Concepción could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
11.1%
0%
Cobreloa - Universidad de Concepción Predictions
Users Predictions:
Cobreloa will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 4. Tapia B. 17. Tapia D. 24. Garcia L. 21. Muga C. 25. Acevedo D. 30. Ledezma I. 7. Gotti G. 9. Ponce W. 16. Romero P.
17. Campestrini C. (G) 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 14. Medina C. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 18. Ubal B. 6. Cordero R. 10. Fuentealba J. 16. Ogaz B. 7. Molina S. 11. Gonzalez I. 22. Lopez A.
Substitutes
10. Arace R. 20. Barrera L. 22. Delgado A. 18. Melendez J. 23. Navarrete G. 31. Salazar A. (G) 11. Verhoeven E.
21. Benitez F. 24. Canessa O. 28. Herrera I. 3. Meza I. 20. Molina L. 29. Sabando D. 13. Sanhueza J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
24', Muga C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Ledezma I. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Cordero R. ⚽,
60', Campestrini C. 🟨,
60', Ledezma I. ↓, Verhoeven E. ↑,
68', Gonzalez I. ↓, Canessa O. ↑,
71', Ogaz B. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
74', Muga C. ↓, Navarrete G. ↑,
74', Acevedo D. ↓, Delgado A. ↑,
75', Ubal B. 🟨,
76', Tapia D. 🟨,
80', Gonzalez R. ↓, Barrera L. ↑,
83', Molina S. ↓, Meza I. ↑,
84', Fuentealba J. ↓, Herrera I. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 2, Lopez A. ⚽,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 3.
Recent matches Cobreloa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Uni de Concepción is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Uni de Concepción have a series of guest games.
Cobreloa will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Cobreloa won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:18 (average 1.5:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Cobreloa won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.7:1.3).
Watch
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Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 
Muga C. 
Gotti G. 
Arace R. 
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