The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Marcos de Arica 50.9%
Draw 27.5%
San Luis de Quillota 21.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
28.5%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
30%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Marcos de Arica's performance.
San Luis de Quillota has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Luis de Quillota might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Marcos de Arica that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Luis de Quillota than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Luis de Quillota could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Marcos de Arica - San Luis de Quillota Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Temperini N. (G) 5. Rivera J. 3. Muller I. 6. Ledesma F. 14. Guerra C. 26. Rencoret C. 8. Barrios A. (C) 10. Velazco F. 24. Pereira D. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C. 20. Abalos A.
1. Retamal D. (G) 2. Navarrete J. 5. Coronel F. 3. Sarria G. 13. Munoz Alister N. 16. Rodriguez A. 21. Araya J. 9. Carreno M. 30. Larrain M. 11. Parada S. 26. Suazo H. (C)
Substitutes
4. Caceres C. 21. Camarda M. 19. Contreras A. 32. Gauna N. A. 7. Monroy B. 35. Plaza D. 22. Tapia B. (G)
23. Albertengo G. 18. Avello G. 8. Cabrera Figueroa L. 17. Flores F. 12. Garcia M. (G) 7. Juarez F. 4. Osorio R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Coronel F. ↓, Osorio R. ↑,
15', Rencoret C. 🟨,
16', Parada S. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Barrios A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pereira D. ↓, Plaza D. ↑,
71', Larrain M. ↓, Albertengo G. ↑,
72', Rencoret C. ↓, Caceres C. ↑,
78', Abalos A. ↓, Gauna N. A. ↑,
78', Melivilu Fuentes C. ↓, Camarda M. ↑,
80', Rodriguez A. ↓, Cabrera Figueroa L. ↑,
80', Araya J. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Camarda M. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Flores F. ⚽,
90+1', Velazco F. 🟨,
90+8', Navarrete J. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 3.
Recent performances by San Marcos de Arica have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
San Luis is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
San Luis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, San Marcos de Arica has had a series of away games.
In this match, San Marcos de Arica is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
San Marcos de Arica - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.15%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Temperini N. (G) 
Rivera J. 
Camarda M. 
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