Match Info

ROMANIA: LIGA 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova)

Referee: Petrescu R. M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Prima Sport 2


	Universitatea Craiova		Chindia Târgoviște

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.5	7.5	Watch
	1.51	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.52	3.7	7
	1.48	3.7	7
	1.48	3.96	8.17
	1.47	3.6	7
	1.43	3.95	8.5	Watch
	1.5	3.8	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.69)	3.73 ↑ (3.45)	7.36 ↑ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitatea Craiova
62.6%

Draw
24.9%

Chindia Târgoviște
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

26.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

26.4%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitatea Craiova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitatea Craiova's performance.

Chindia Târgoviște has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chindia Târgoviște might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitatea Craiova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chindia Târgoviște than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chindia Târgoviște could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	12.1%	9.1%

Universitatea Craiova - Chindia Târgoviște Predictions

Users Predictions: Universitatea Craiova will win (26 of 33 users predict this - 78.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.84% – 92.74%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Championship Group) and 12 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Universitatea Craiova won 3.

Recent matches Universitatea Craiova is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chindia Târgoviște is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Universitatea Craiova have a series of guest games.

In this match Universitatea Craiova is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Universitatea Craiova won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Universitatea Craiova won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
12.12.22	Mioveni - Universitatea Craiova	0:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
07.12.22	Argeș Pitești - Universitatea Craiova	2:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
03.12.22	Universitatea Craiova - U Craiova 1948	0:2 ✺
29.11.22	Chindia Târgoviște - Universitatea Craiova	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Rapid Bucureşti - Universitatea Craiova	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLTT
- FC Chindia Târgoviște
Romanian SuperLiga
11.12.22	Chindia Târgoviște - FCSB	0:2 ✺
Romanian Cup
07.12.22	Hermannstadt - Chindia Târgoviște	4:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
04.12.22	CFR Cluj - Chindia Târgoviște	2:0 ✺
29.11.22	Chindia Târgoviște - Universitatea Craiova	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Chindia Târgoviște - Farul Constanța	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
29.11.22	Chindia Târgoviște - Universitatea Craiova	1:1
25.02.22	Universitatea Craiova - Chindia Târgoviște	1:0
22.10.21	Chindia Târgoviște - Universitatea Craiova	0:1
Romanian Cup
02.03.21	Chindia Târgoviște - Universitatea Craiova	0:1
Romanian SuperLiga
27.02.21	Chindia Târgoviște - Universitatea Craiova	1:0
06.11.20	Universitatea Craiova - Chindia Târgoviște	0:1
09.11.19	Chindia Târgoviște - Universitatea Craiova	1:1

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