Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 28

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	University of Pretoria		Lerumo Lions

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.98	3.05
	2.36	2.81	3.21
	2.3	2.85	3.24	Watch
	2.3	2.8	2.9
	2.24	2.97	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.26)	2.88 ↓ (2.94)	3.11 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

University of Pretoria
39.6%

Draw
31.4%

Lerumo Lions
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

31.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

29.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

University of Pretoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Lerumo Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for University of Pretoria than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lerumo Lions than the current prediction. (-2%)

University of Pretoria - Lerumo Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 1)

Preview

Pretoria Uni is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Lerumo Lions has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lerumo Lions may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pretoria Uni might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pretoria Uni won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lerumo Lions	8	4	2	2	11:6	5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- University of Pretoria FC
South African First Division
25.04.26	Upington City - University of Pretoria	2:2 ✺
22.04.26	Hungry Lions - University of Pretoria	4:2 ✺
17.04.26	University of Pretoria - Gomora United	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Black Leopards - University of Pretoria	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	University of Pretoria - Highbury	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLTTL
- Lerumo Lions
South African First Division
25.04.26	Lerumo Lions - Highbury	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Leicesterford City - Lerumo Lions	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Lerumo Lions - Baroka	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	The Bees - Lerumo Lions	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Kruger United - Lerumo Lions	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
06.12.25	Lerumo Lions - University of Pretoria	2:1

University of Pretoria - Lerumo Lions