Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 25

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Lerumo Lions		Baroka

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.05	3.9
	1.92	3.14	3.97
	1.91	3.18	3.93	Watch
	1.91	2.9	3.9
	1.93	3.39	3.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.94)	3.13 ↓ (3.38)	3.92 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lerumo Lions
47.6%

Draw
29.1%

Baroka
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.6%

26.8%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

22.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lerumo Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Baroka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lerumo Lions than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lerumo Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baroka than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baroka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lerumo Lions - Baroka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Lerumo Lions is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lerumo Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lerumo Lions	8	4	2	2	11:6	5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lerumo Lions
South African First Division
11.04.26	The Bees - Lerumo Lions	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Kruger United - Lerumo Lions	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Lerumo Lions - Upington City	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Lerumo Lions - Casric Stars	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Hungry Lions - Lerumo Lions	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLLTT
- Baroka FC
South African First Division
11.04.26	Baroka - Leicesterford City	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Midlands Wanderers - Baroka	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Milford - Baroka	5:0 ✺
14.03.26	Baroka - Hungry Lions	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Venda - Baroka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
09.11.25	Baroka - Lerumo Lions	1:2

Lerumo Lions - Baroka