Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 15

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	União Barbarense		Jabaquara

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.33
	1.7	3.38	4.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.69)	3.39 ↓ (3.6)	4.53 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Barbarense
53.6%

Draw
26.5%

Jabaquara
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

21.2%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Barbarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Jabaquara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with União Barbarense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jabaquara than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jabaquara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 13).

Recent matches União Barbarense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jabaquara is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match União Barbarense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Barbarense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
23.03.24	SKA Brasil - União Barbarense	1:0 ✺
20.03.24	União Barbarense - Independente de Limeira	4:0 ✺
16.03.24	União Barbarense - Taquaritinga	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - União Barbarense	7:0 ✺
06.03.24	União Barbarense - Rio Branco de Americana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLW
- Jabaquara AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
23.03.24	Jabaquara - Nacional SP	3:2 ✺
20.03.24	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Jabaquara	5:0 ✺
16.03.24	Jabaquara - Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	VOCEM - Jabaquara	2:0 ✺
06.03.24	SKA Brasil - Jabaquara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLL

União Barbarense - Jabaquara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide