Match Info

BRAZIL: Matogrossense - Round 8

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Municipal Stadium Engineer Luthero Lopes (Rondonópolis)


	União Rondonópolis		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	6	3.45	1.56
	5.93	3.44	1.54
	6.12	3.55	1.56	Watch
	5.87	3.58	1.54
	6	3.45	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.98 ↑ (5.94)	3.49 ↓ (3.8)	1.55 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Rondonópolis
15.2%

Draw
26.1%

Cuiabá
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

23.9%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

23.6%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Rondonópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Cuiabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Rondonópolis than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

União Rondonópolis - Cuiabá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernando Nunes (G) 2. Arthur Amorim 3. Benne 5. Carlao 9. Gabriel Bigode 10. Gionnotti 7. Ikson 6. Iury Cabral 4. Marcio Luiz (C) 8. Nathan 11. Vitinho	14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 3. Bruno Alves (C) 27. Denilson 22. Derik Lacerda 44. Gabriel 99. Lucas Cardoso 30. Lucas Mineiro 98. Matheusinho 7. Pedrinho 33. Ruan Oliveira 6. Sander
Substitutes
13. Alan Abdala 14. Davi 21. Frank 22. Gabriel Santana 15. Geandro 23. Italo Tanque 17. Joel 18. Kaua 16. Leo Galon 12. Lucao (G) 19. Luiz Gabriel 20. Pablo	97. Andre Luis 32. Asad Y. 55. Calebe Costa 31. Felipe Lopes (G) 77. Jadson 70. Juan Christian 2. Leonardo Ataide 8. Max 4. Nathan 40. Railan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Ikson ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Gionnotti ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
77', 2 - 1, ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches União Rondonópolis won 0.

Recent matches União Rondonópolis is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cuiabá is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cuiabá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cuiabá is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches União Rondonópolis won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 9:33 (average 0.6:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams União Rondonópolis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:12 (average 0.6:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Rondonópolis
Brazilian Copa Verde
12.02.25	União Rondonópolis - Goiás	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
08.02.25	Sport Sinop - União Rondonópolis	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
04.02.25	Aparecidense - União Rondonópolis	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
30.01.25	União Rondonópolis - Operário Ltda	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Luverdense - União Rondonópolis	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LTWLW
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
08.02.25	Cuiabá - Nova Mutum	5:0 ✺
02.02.25	Academia Rondonópolis - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Cuiabá - Luverdense	3:1 ✺
18.01.25	Cuiabá - Mixto	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Operário Ltda - Cuiabá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
06.04.24	União Rondonópolis - Cuiabá	0:1
30.03.24	Cuiabá - União Rondonópolis	1:0
08.02.24	Cuiabá - União Rondonópolis	1:1
08.04.23	Cuiabá - União Rondonópolis	1:0
05.04.23	União Rondonópolis - Cuiabá	0:2
11.02.23	Cuiabá - União Rondonópolis	2:1
02.04.22	Cuiabá - União Rondonópolis	4:0

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