Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Verde - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Municipal Stadium Engineer Luthero Lopes (Rondonópolis)


	União Rondonópolis		Goiás

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2
	3.38	3.15	2.09
	3.57	3.38	1.95
	3.4	3.1	2
	3.59	3.13	2
	3.5	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (4.96)	3.19 ↓ (3.33)	2.01 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Rondonópolis
26.1%

Draw
28.5%

Goiás
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

27.1%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

27.7%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Rondonópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União Rondonópolis's performance.

Goiás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Goiás might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Rondonópolis than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with União Rondonópolis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Goiás could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

União Rondonópolis - Goiás Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Edson Carioca ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 2, Freitas G. ⚽,
90+1', Iury Cabral 🟥,

Preview

1st leg.

União Rondonópolis is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Goiás is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

União Rondonópolis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Goiás is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches União Rondonópolis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Rondonópolis
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
08.02.25	Sport Sinop - União Rondonópolis	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
04.02.25	Aparecidense - União Rondonópolis	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
30.01.25	União Rondonópolis - Operário Ltda	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Luverdense - União Rondonópolis	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
22.01.25	União Rondonópolis - União Carmolandense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWLWW
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
09.02.25	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
06.02.25	Goiás - Rio Branco AC ES	6:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
02.02.25	Vila Nova - Goiás	1:0 ✺
28.01.25	Goiás - Jataiense	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Anápolis - Goiás	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Verde
06.03.24	Goiás - União Rondonópolis	2:0
22.02.23	Goiás - União Rondonópolis	3:0

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