Match Info

Date: 1 March 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	União de Coimbra		Santa Cruz de Alvarenga

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.6
	2.48	2.88	2.7
	2.49	3	2.7
	2.42	3.2	2.95
	2.39	3.04	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.15)	3.01 ↓ (3.01)	2.78 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Coimbra
37.1%

Draw
30.1%

Santa Cruz de Alvarenga
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.4%

30.3%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

21.3%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União de Coimbra's form might have worsened.

Santa Cruz de Alvarenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Cruz de Alvarenga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Coimbra than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with União de Coimbra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Alvarenga than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz de Alvarenga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

União de Coimbra is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alvarenga is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches União de Coimbra won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams União de Coimbra won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Coimbra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.22	Valadares Gaia - União de Coimbra	2:0 ✺
20.02.22	Leça - União de Coimbra	3:0 ✺
13.02.22	União de Coimbra - SC Espinho	0:5 ✺
06.02.22	União de Coimbra - Gouveia	3:0 ✺
23.01.22	União de Coimbra - Ferreira de Aves	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWT
- GD Santa Cruz de Alvarenga
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.02.22	Santa Cruz de Alvarenga - Castro Daire	1:1 ✺
19.02.22	Salgueiros 08 - Santa Cruz de Alvarenga	0:0 ✺
13.02.22	Gouveia - Santa Cruz de Alvarenga	1:2 ✺
05.02.22	Santa Cruz de Alvarenga - Gondomar	1:0 ✺
16.01.22	Ferreira de Aves - Santa Cruz de Alvarenga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
31.10.21	Santa Cruz de Alvarenga - União de Coimbra	2:2

União de Coimbra - Santa Cruz de Alvarenga

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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