The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
União de Coimbra 37.1%
Draw 30.1%
Santa Cruz de Alvarenga 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
30.3%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
21.3%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União de Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União de Coimbra's form might have worsened.
Santa Cruz de Alvarenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Cruz de Alvarenga's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Coimbra than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with União de Coimbra that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Alvarenga than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz de Alvarenga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
União de Coimbra is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Alvarenga is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches União de Coimbra won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
Including matches at home between the teams União de Coimbra won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.